MMC
11-12-2018, 11:44 AM
Ahahahahaha…..all that cheating by the Demos and they still come up losers. Plus now Scott has filed another lawsuit. Hopefully this time Floridians will chase Snipes and Busher out of the State. Once and for all.
Amid the violations of law (https://townhall.com/tipsheet/guybenson/2018/11/09/bottom-line-in-florida-broward-county-election-officials-are-violating-the-law-n2535655) by Broward and Palm Beach County elections officials, the data provides apparent good news for Republicans. First, despite the national media's (https://thefederalist.com/2018/11/09/florida-vote-scandal-coverage-shows-media-democrat-complicity-again/) typical laziness and derelictions, the local press (https://twitter.com/marcorubio/status/1061387938683125762) has largely been assiduous and conscientious -- certain framing (https://twitter.com/guypbenson/status/1061109049176059905) aside. Second, core concerns raised by leading Republicans (some of which were rhetorically overblown) have been validated (https://twitter.com/politicofl/status/1061241135794937856) by multiple judges. The ineptitude and misconduct (https://townhall.com/tipsheet/mattvespa/2018/11/10/fl-sen-oh-my-broward-elections-office-mixed-up-rejected-provisional-ballots-wit-n2535702) has not gone unnoticed. Third, in spite of Democratic lawyers' best efforts, Republican leads in key races are likely insurmountable. National Review's Charles C.W. Cooke has been following this closely, and relayed his analysis (https://twitter.com/charlescwcooke/status/1061312348047269893) over the weekend, with recounts underway:
Based on Cooke's calculations -- which bake in several highly favorable assumptions for Democrats (in some cases, implausibly so) -- both major stateside Republicans are in good shape:
He even runs through a scenario under which Bill Nelson's Broward County "undervote (https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/09/upshot/florida-senate-race-broward-undercount.html)" is deemed attributable to some sort of nefarious problem, under which Democratic attorneys could make (unrealistic) headway. In that unlikely case, DeSantis would nevertheless be fine, but Rick Scott's lead would dwindle down to vulnerable territory -- although he'd still be ahead:
The full thread (https://twitter.com/charlescwcooke/status/1061312348047269893) is quite encouraging for Republicans, even with Cooke noting that nothing should be fully ruled out until this ordeal is officially over. Also, let's assume that the vote totals shift here and there as tiny handfuls of ballots are still being recorded -- but not by much. With the aforementioned recounts in process (https://twitter.com/doug_hanks/status/1061395189749743623), please recall that the likelihood of this process changing outcomesis... quite slim (https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/recounts-rarely-reverse-election-results/). FiveThirtyEight:
Nate Silver also explores the most obvious reason for the Broward Senate "undervote:" Yet another questionably-designed ballot (https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/something-looks-weird-in-broward-county-heres-what-we-know-about-a-possible-florida-recount/) by the heavily-Democratic County. It's important for Republicans to remain vigilant, but the math strongly suggests that Florida will soon certify that Ron DeSantis and Rick Scott have been elected Governor and Senator, respectively. Those aren't done deals, but the evidence currently points in a positive direction......snip~
https://townhall.com/tipsheet/guybenson/2018/11/12/analysis-its-almost-certain-that-rick-scott-and-ron-desantis-have-won-in-florida-n2535731
Amid the violations of law (https://townhall.com/tipsheet/guybenson/2018/11/09/bottom-line-in-florida-broward-county-election-officials-are-violating-the-law-n2535655) by Broward and Palm Beach County elections officials, the data provides apparent good news for Republicans. First, despite the national media's (https://thefederalist.com/2018/11/09/florida-vote-scandal-coverage-shows-media-democrat-complicity-again/) typical laziness and derelictions, the local press (https://twitter.com/marcorubio/status/1061387938683125762) has largely been assiduous and conscientious -- certain framing (https://twitter.com/guypbenson/status/1061109049176059905) aside. Second, core concerns raised by leading Republicans (some of which were rhetorically overblown) have been validated (https://twitter.com/politicofl/status/1061241135794937856) by multiple judges. The ineptitude and misconduct (https://townhall.com/tipsheet/mattvespa/2018/11/10/fl-sen-oh-my-broward-elections-office-mixed-up-rejected-provisional-ballots-wit-n2535702) has not gone unnoticed. Third, in spite of Democratic lawyers' best efforts, Republican leads in key races are likely insurmountable. National Review's Charles C.W. Cooke has been following this closely, and relayed his analysis (https://twitter.com/charlescwcooke/status/1061312348047269893) over the weekend, with recounts underway:
Based on Cooke's calculations -- which bake in several highly favorable assumptions for Democrats (in some cases, implausibly so) -- both major stateside Republicans are in good shape:
He even runs through a scenario under which Bill Nelson's Broward County "undervote (https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/09/upshot/florida-senate-race-broward-undercount.html)" is deemed attributable to some sort of nefarious problem, under which Democratic attorneys could make (unrealistic) headway. In that unlikely case, DeSantis would nevertheless be fine, but Rick Scott's lead would dwindle down to vulnerable territory -- although he'd still be ahead:
The full thread (https://twitter.com/charlescwcooke/status/1061312348047269893) is quite encouraging for Republicans, even with Cooke noting that nothing should be fully ruled out until this ordeal is officially over. Also, let's assume that the vote totals shift here and there as tiny handfuls of ballots are still being recorded -- but not by much. With the aforementioned recounts in process (https://twitter.com/doug_hanks/status/1061395189749743623), please recall that the likelihood of this process changing outcomesis... quite slim (https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/recounts-rarely-reverse-election-results/). FiveThirtyEight:
Nate Silver also explores the most obvious reason for the Broward Senate "undervote:" Yet another questionably-designed ballot (https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/something-looks-weird-in-broward-county-heres-what-we-know-about-a-possible-florida-recount/) by the heavily-Democratic County. It's important for Republicans to remain vigilant, but the math strongly suggests that Florida will soon certify that Ron DeSantis and Rick Scott have been elected Governor and Senator, respectively. Those aren't done deals, but the evidence currently points in a positive direction......snip~
https://townhall.com/tipsheet/guybenson/2018/11/12/analysis-its-almost-certain-that-rick-scott-and-ron-desantis-have-won-in-florida-n2535731