Professor Peabody
10-31-2014, 12:27 AM
The national environment is terrible for Democrats, say Democrats
By Chris Cillizza October 29 at 1:24 PM
Prominent Democratic strategists are growing increasingly nervous that the national political environment is not only bad for their side but is moving in the wrong direction in the final days before the election, a trend that could not only cost them control of the Senate but also visit double-digit House losses on the party.
"The environment has settled and it's bad," said one senior Democratic party operative closely monitoring the party's prospects this fall. The source added that Democratic candidates' numbers among independents and seniors — two critically important voting blocs — have begun to erode; "they are just not as friendly to us as they once were," the source explained.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/10/29/the-national-environment-is-terrible-for-democrats-say-democrats/
The desperation on the Democrats part is palpable. The "War on Women" and the latest scare tactic "Republicans Push to Privatize and Cut Social Security". I haven't heard anything about privatizing social security since it was rejected in the mid-2000's. But, the Democrats are flinging what ever poo they can at Republicans in order to try to keep power in Congress. I've even see one liberal pundit blame the Democrats impending loss on something he called "the 6 year itch". To me that imply's a fickle voting public is at fault. WHAT? How about 6 years of failed economic policies resulting in a mean GDP growth of about 1.8%? How about the largest national debt in history, adding about $7 trillion dollars (http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2715986/U-S-debt-balloons-7-TRILLION-Obama-took-office.html) to it in just 6 years? How about a foreign policy that ignored the warnings and allowed not only the death of the first American Ambassador since Jimmy Carter was President in 1979 along with three other Americans? How about the Obama administration being warned about 'The Rise of ISIS' (http://news.yahoo.com/obama-white-house-did-little-to-stop--the-rise-of-isis---says-frontline-<br /> <br /> documentary-133053988.html) back in January of this year and doing little about it.
Jobs and the economy.....
In Oct 2009 unemployment rose to 10% nationwide. Since then it has dropped to 5.9% as of Sept 2014. Sounds good right? Not so fast. That same month Oct 2009 the Labor force participation rate was 65%, at the peak of the unemployment mind you. Today it's 62.7%, that's a large drop in the total labor force. Now for some definitions:
U-1: persons unemployed 15 weeks or longer, as a percent of the civilian labor force;
U-2: job losers and persons who completed temporary jobs, as a percent of the civilian labor force;
U-3: total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force;
U-4: total unemployed plus discouraged workers, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus discouraged workers;
U-5: total unemployed, plus discouraged workers, plus all other marginally attached workers, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all marginally attached workers; and
U-6: total unemployed, plus all marginally attached workers, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all marginally attached workers.
The U-3 number is the one the Government uses for bragging. Look at the wording one more time... U-3: total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force;. The civilian Labor force has dropped from 65% to 62.7% (http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS11300000), so the U-3 numbers are rather deceiving regarding unemployment.
https://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/re/2014/c/images/fig1_canon.png
The U-6 numbers reflect the TOTAL unemployed and as we can see it's almost 17%.
Please don't be fooled by smoke 'n mirrors and claims of how good things are. Ask yourself one question before voting on Tuesday.....Am I and my family better off than we were 4 years ago? If you're happy and want things to stay the way they are right now, more power to ya vote for Democrats. If you're tired of a stagnant economy, part time jobs and struggling to pay your bills, then vote against the Obama agenda and many Democrats as you can. If you're tired of a Government that put everyone around the world and can make it across the border ahead of you and your family....except in the IRS pay your taxes line, then vote against the Obama agenda and many Democrats as you can.
By Chris Cillizza October 29 at 1:24 PM
Prominent Democratic strategists are growing increasingly nervous that the national political environment is not only bad for their side but is moving in the wrong direction in the final days before the election, a trend that could not only cost them control of the Senate but also visit double-digit House losses on the party.
"The environment has settled and it's bad," said one senior Democratic party operative closely monitoring the party's prospects this fall. The source added that Democratic candidates' numbers among independents and seniors — two critically important voting blocs — have begun to erode; "they are just not as friendly to us as they once were," the source explained.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/10/29/the-national-environment-is-terrible-for-democrats-say-democrats/
The desperation on the Democrats part is palpable. The "War on Women" and the latest scare tactic "Republicans Push to Privatize and Cut Social Security". I haven't heard anything about privatizing social security since it was rejected in the mid-2000's. But, the Democrats are flinging what ever poo they can at Republicans in order to try to keep power in Congress. I've even see one liberal pundit blame the Democrats impending loss on something he called "the 6 year itch". To me that imply's a fickle voting public is at fault. WHAT? How about 6 years of failed economic policies resulting in a mean GDP growth of about 1.8%? How about the largest national debt in history, adding about $7 trillion dollars (http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2715986/U-S-debt-balloons-7-TRILLION-Obama-took-office.html) to it in just 6 years? How about a foreign policy that ignored the warnings and allowed not only the death of the first American Ambassador since Jimmy Carter was President in 1979 along with three other Americans? How about the Obama administration being warned about 'The Rise of ISIS' (http://news.yahoo.com/obama-white-house-did-little-to-stop--the-rise-of-isis---says-frontline-<br /> <br /> documentary-133053988.html) back in January of this year and doing little about it.
Jobs and the economy.....
In Oct 2009 unemployment rose to 10% nationwide. Since then it has dropped to 5.9% as of Sept 2014. Sounds good right? Not so fast. That same month Oct 2009 the Labor force participation rate was 65%, at the peak of the unemployment mind you. Today it's 62.7%, that's a large drop in the total labor force. Now for some definitions:
U-1: persons unemployed 15 weeks or longer, as a percent of the civilian labor force;
U-2: job losers and persons who completed temporary jobs, as a percent of the civilian labor force;
U-3: total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force;
U-4: total unemployed plus discouraged workers, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus discouraged workers;
U-5: total unemployed, plus discouraged workers, plus all other marginally attached workers, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all marginally attached workers; and
U-6: total unemployed, plus all marginally attached workers, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all marginally attached workers.
The U-3 number is the one the Government uses for bragging. Look at the wording one more time... U-3: total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force;. The civilian Labor force has dropped from 65% to 62.7% (http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS11300000), so the U-3 numbers are rather deceiving regarding unemployment.
https://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/re/2014/c/images/fig1_canon.png
The U-6 numbers reflect the TOTAL unemployed and as we can see it's almost 17%.
Please don't be fooled by smoke 'n mirrors and claims of how good things are. Ask yourself one question before voting on Tuesday.....Am I and my family better off than we were 4 years ago? If you're happy and want things to stay the way they are right now, more power to ya vote for Democrats. If you're tired of a stagnant economy, part time jobs and struggling to pay your bills, then vote against the Obama agenda and many Democrats as you can. If you're tired of a Government that put everyone around the world and can make it across the border ahead of you and your family....except in the IRS pay your taxes line, then vote against the Obama agenda and many Democrats as you can.