Political Polls

[PolWatch]

I suspect we will see a lot of different political polls between now & election day. While the only poll that really counts is the election, I like seeing poll results. Being a lazy person, I like Real Clear Politics because they provide an average of several major polls. Which polls (if any) do YOU like?

Paul & Rubio have consistently led the field

Today's results of Hillary v/s everyone:

Paul +2.8
Rubio +4.2
Huckabee +5.0
Bush +5.2
Walker +6.8
Cruz +8.3
Carson +11.7
Christie +12.3

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_presidential_race.html

[Peter1469]

RealClearPolitics is the poll that I follow. As well as their news feeds (all of the RealClear to include Defense, History, Religion, Policy, World, Markets, Science, Tech)

[PolWatch]

Polls are so easily manipulated to obtain the desired results. I like knowing RCP averages the polls from several sources. At least a chance of being unbiased.

[magicmike]

All polls are at best faulty. Even RCP, which, although an aggregate, admits to being right-biased and manipulating multiple polls to achieve a particular result.

[PolWatch]

All polls are at best faulty. Even RCP, which, although an aggregate, admits to being right-biased and manipulating multiple polls to achieve a particular result.

I have not seen anything where they comment on a slant to one side or the other. Do you have a link for that?

[Safety]

Fox didn't even bother to poll Christie?

:shocked:

[Mac-7]

Polls are so easily manipulated to obtain the desired results. I like knowing RCP averages the polls from several sources.

At least a chance of being unbiased.

Not if all the pollsters running the polls live to see Hillary or bush in the White House.

Which they pretty much all do

[Peter1469]

All polls are at best faulty. Even RCP, which, although an aggregate, admits to being right-biased and manipulating multiple polls to achieve a particular result.


Link or lie?

[PolWatch]

Fox didn't even bother to poll Christie?

:shocked:

nope....no one polled on Santorum either

[birddog]

When the R field gets down to a few, those numbers will swing toward the Rs. It's a matter of perception and focus. For example, if it was down to only Walker and Bush against Hillary, either Walker or Bush would be ahead of her IMHO.

[PolWatch]

I had expected the candidates with the most name recognition would score the highest.....which would have put Jeb Bush higher on the list. I also think that as the repub field narrows, the % will get closer.

[Chris]

If I want polls I go to RCP as well.


Last I heard though was Clinton was losing ground to Rand Paul. So she's rebooting and re-announcing candidacy soon.

[PolWatch]

Rand has been the closest % since I started watching the polls. Rubio has been fairly consistent too.

[TrueBlue]

Rand has been the closest % since I started watching the polls. Rubio has been fairly consistent too.
Yet neither will go on to win the Pub nomination. One is a Libertarian, the antithesis of what the American voter is looking for and the other can't get his story straight about his parents plus many other things.

[TrueBlue]

I have not seen anything where they comment on a slant to one side or the other. Do you have a link for that?
Here you go, Pol.

Under "Philosophy", look at the second (2nd) paragraph.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RealClearPolitics

And here's another one.

Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality
J. Bradford DeLong

http://delong.typepad.com/sdj/2013/02/nate-silver-and-ezra-klein.html

"There’s no doubt about that. Real Clear Politics, which leans right, shows Romney up by 0.8 percent nationally, but shows Obama up in Ohio, New Hampshire, Iowa, Nevada, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan."

[hanger4]

Here you go, Pol.

Under "Philosophy", look at the second (2nd) paragraph.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RealClearPolitics

And here's another one.

Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality
J. Bradford DeLong

http://delong.typepad.com/sdj/2013/02/nate-silver-and-ezra-klein.html

Reguardless of whether RCP swings right, left or from a trapeze how do you bias an average of the national polls ?? The poll itself may be bias but that's another story.

[Common]

Pols mean nothing, if they did Romney would have won Potus by a landslide in 12

[donttread]

I'm for Rand Paul. But if he doesn't make it, I'd write in Stewie Griffin. He don't take no shit

[Common]

I wouldnt vote for rand paul if he was the last one standing. I dont like hillary, bernie sanders is to far left for me, dont trust Omalley at all and as far as the gop running they arent for me either.

I have no idea who im voting for yet

[Common Sense]

Only 17 months to go!

[Common]

Only 17 months to go!

Exactly and for those that have who their voting for written in stone shows just pure bias.
We havent even heard what any of them are going to lie to us about yet.

[magicmike]

I have not seen anything where they comment on a slant to one side or the other. Do you have a link for that?

Try Wiki.


Link or lie?

I didn't know links were required. I'll remember to every Republitarian post of yours in the future with this quote to remind you of your high forum standards. Hopefully, you'll take a break from smart ass comments and calling others names to notice.

[Ransom]

Yet neither will go on to win the Pub nomination. One is a Libertarian, the antithesis of what the American voter is looking for and the other can't get his story straight about his parents plus many other things.

Yeah but, Obama couldn't get his story straight concerning Rev. Wright either and you Dems........oh.....sorry.

Yer Dems, the story doesn't have to be straight. Long as the guy or gal looks good and can read a teleprompter.....President material.

[Ransom]

I wouldnt vote for rand paul if he was the last one standing. I dont like hillary, bernie sanders is to far left for me, dont trust Omalley at all and as far as the gop running they arent for me either.

I have no idea who im voting for yet

why not ask Ransom, he knows exactly who you're voting for. And is amused by your deflection techniques.

If it waddles and quacks like a duck......why then my dear common......it's most probably a f'n duck.

You're amusing to say the least.

[magicmike]

Yeah but, Obama couldn't get his story straight concerning Rev. Wright either and you Dems........oh.....sorry.

Yer Dems, the story doesn't have to be straight. Long as the guy or gal looks good and can read a teleprompter.....President material.


Two word response. Sarah Palin.

[magicmike]

Christine O'Donnell

[magicmike]

Scott Brown

[Peter1469]

Try Wiki.



I didn't know links were required. I'll remember to every Republitarian post of yours in the future with this quote to remind you of your high forum standards. Hopefully, you'll take a break from smart ass comments and calling others names to notice.

If you are copying an article link to it. If you write your own stuff that is fine. No need to get any more complicated than that.

[PolWatch]

Realclearpolitics polls don't give Trump much of a chance against Clinton. Clinton has the smallest win margin against Paul but Huckabee & Bush are getting closer. This is the first time I've seen Trump on the list....he's not doing real well in polls when matched against Clinton.

Today's polls averages against Clinton:

Paul 3.8
Huckabee 5.0
Bush 5.6
Rubio 6.8
Cruz 8.0
Christie 9.7
Walker 9.8
Carson 10.7
Trump 19.6

[PolWatch]

These are the poll averages for the Repub nomination....Trump is not doing as well when all polls are included.

National: GOP (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html), Dem (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_democratic_presidential_nomination-3824.html) | Iowa: GOP (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_republican_presidential_caucus-3194.html), Dem (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_democratic_presidential_caucus-3195.html) | New Hampshire: GOP (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nh/new_hampshire_republican_presidential_primary-3350.html), Dem (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nh/new_hampshire_democratic_presidential_primary-3351.html) | South Carolina: GOP (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/sc/south_carolina_republican_presidential_primary-4151.html), Dem (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/sc/south_carolina_democratic_presidential_primary-4167.html) | General Election Match-Ups (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_presidential_race.html)
Polling Data



Poll
Date
Bush
Walker
Carson
Rubio
Huckabee
Paul
Trump
Cruz
Perry
Christie
Santorum
Fiorina
Kasich
Jindal
Graham
Spread


RCP Average
6/11 - 6/28
16.3
10.5
9.8
9.3
7.8
7.3
6.5
4.0
3.8
3.3
2.3
2.0
1.5
1.3
1.3
Bush +5.8


CNN/ORC (http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2015/images/06/30/trumpbushclinton.pdf)
6/26 - 6/28
19
6
7
6
8
7
12
3
4
3
3
1
2
2
1
Bush +7


FOX News (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2015/06/24/0624152016iranweb/)
6/21 - 6/23
15
9
10
8
6
9
11
4
2
2
3
3
2
2
1
Bush +4


NBC/WSJ (http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/6_22_PollPDF.pdf)
6/14 - 6/18
22
17
11
14
9
7
1
4
5
4
0
2
1
0
1
Bush +5


Monmouth (http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/1c2a9e72-6933-46c4-9d68-87d264821039.pdf)
6/11 - 6/14
9
10
11
9
8
6
2
5
4
4
3
2
1
1
2
Carson +1



http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html

[Common]

Walker fell some thats a good thing

[Ransom]

It's July 2015. We get back from holidays in 2016......time to start paying attention to polls.

[PolWatch]

The only poll that matters is election day.....but its still fun to watch 'em.

[Peter1469]

Most the people on the ballot won't be in the race after the holidays.

[Bo-4]

Yeah the Hillary against everyone RCP is the most interesting. Rand Paul seems to fair best in the head to head only a few points back.

[PolWatch]

There are so many repubs to split the votes against Hillary. I don't think we will get a real reading on how repub/dem stacks up until its down to at least equal numbers....1 dem/1 repub.

[PolWatch]

Update with last week's #:

Paul 5.2 - 3.8
Bush 5.8 - 5.6
Huckabee 7 - 5.0
Rubio 7.2 - 6.8
Cruz 8 - 8
Christie 9.7 - 9.7
Walker 10.4 - 9.8
Carson 11.3 - 10.7
Trump 19 - 19.6

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_presidential_race.html

[PolWatch]

Update 7/21 + last 2 polls

Paul is cutting Clinton's lead this week. Walker moved up over Christie & Trump moved up.

Paul 4.4. - 5.2 - 3.8
Bush 6 - 5.8 - 5.6
Huckabee 7.3 - 7 - 5.0
Rubio 7.6 - 7.2 - 6.8
Cruz 8.5 - 8 - 8
Walker 10.6 - 10.4 - 9.8
Christie 11 - 9.7 - 9.7
Carson 12.5 - 11.3 - 10.7
Trump 17.8 - 19 - 19.6

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_presidential_race.html

[PolWatch]

Repub nomination: Trump with a 4.8 spread
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html

Dem nomination: Clinton with a 40.6 spread
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_democratic_presidential_nomination-3824.html

[Mac-7]

I can see these poll numbers make the Hillary supporters very happy.

But she is a very flawed candidate.

as the campaign goes on she has nowhere to go except down.

which she will do.

[Chris]

Repub nomination: Trump with a 4.8 spread
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html

Dem nomination: Clinton with a 40.6 spread
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_democratic_presidential_nomination-3824.html



Sanders is a single point away from Trump.

[PolWatch]

Sanders is a single point away from Trump.

True....but there are so many repub candidates I don't think the point spreads really prove much.

[Chris]

True, it'll narrow, if the Reps don't splinter.

[PolWatch]

True, it'll narrow, if the Reps don't splinter.

do you think there are really enough repubs that support Trump to make a problem? I think Trump could take the extreme right with him on a 3rd party run, but the majority of repubs would stay with their more centrist nominee. I believe the biggest problem is that Trump will turn off some independents that might have gone repub....'specially the minorities.

The Hispanic voters have been moving steadily toward the repub party (look at the Cubans in Miami). While Trump is 'assuming' some Mexicans are decent, he is ignoring that Hispanics generally are very Catholic, conservative people.

[PolWatch]

This week's polls....Looks like Bush, Walker & Trump are gaining ground

Paul 4.4 - 4.4 - 5.2 - 3.8
Bush 4.6 - 6 - 5.8 - 5.6
Huckabee 7.3 - 7.3 - 7 - 5.0
Rubio 7.6 - 7.6 - 7.2 - 6.8
Cruz 8.5 - 8.5 - 8 - 8
Walker 9.0 - 10.6 - 10.4 - 9.8
Christie 11.1 - 11 - 9.7 - 9.7
Carson 12.5 - 12.5 - 11.3 - 10.7
Trump 16.2 - 17.8 - 19 - 19.6

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_presidential_race.html

[PolWatch]

General election v/s Clinton
These results are prior to the debate (7/28)

Paul 5.5 - 4.4 - 4.4 - 5.2 - 3.8
Bush 4.2 - 4.6 - 6 - 5.8 - 5.6
Huckabee 8.0 - 7.3 - 7.3 - 7 - 5.0
Rubio 6.6 - 7.6 - 7.6 - 7.2 - 6.8
Cruz 7.6 - 8.5 - 8.5 - 8 - 8
Walker 6.6 - 9.0 - 10.6 - 10.4 - 9.8
Christie 11.3 - 11.1 - 11 - 9.7 - 9.7
Carson 10.3 - 2.5 - 12.5 - 11.3 - 10.7
Trump 14.8 - 16.2 - 17.8 - 19 - 19.6
Kasich 9.0
Perry 8.0

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_presidential_race.html

[PolWatch]

Republican nomination
Polling Data

Poll
Date
Trump
Bush
Walker
Huckabee
Carson
Cruz
Rubio
Paul
Christie
Kasich
Perry
Santorum
Fiorina
Jindal
Graham
Spread


RCP Average
7/29 - 8/2
24.3
12.5
9.5
6.8
5.8
5.5
5.3
4.5
3.5
2.8
1.8
1.5
1.3
1.3
0.5
Trump +11.8


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html

[PolWatch]

Looks like Trump has started to drop with republicans. Last week Trump had an 11.8 spread to his closest opponent....this week its down to 10.7
This poll is through 8/10

Polling Data

Poll
Date
Trump
Bush
Walker
Rubio
Carson
Cruz
Huckabee
Paul
Christie
Fiorina
Kasich
Perry
Santorum
Jindal
Graham
Spread


RCP Average
7/30 - 8/10
22.5
11.8
9.3
6.3
6.3
5.8
5.5
4.5
3.8
3.5
3.5
1.5
1.5
1.0
0.8
Trump +10.7


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html

[PolWatch]

General election v/s Clinton (8/13)
Bush, Trump, Walker & Rubio are cutting Clinton's lead

Paul 5.5 - 5.5 - 4.4 - 4.4 - 5.2 - 3.8
Bush 2.6 - 4.2 - 4.6 - 6 - 5.8 - 5.6
Huckabee 8.0 - 8.0 - 7.3 - 7.3 - 7 - 5.0
Rubio 3.5 - 6.6 - 7.6 - 7.6 - 7.2 - 6.8
Cruz 7.6 - 7.6 - 8.5 - 8.5 - 8 - 8
Walker 5.5 - 6.6 - 9.0 - 10.6 - 10.4 - 9.8
Christie 11.3 - 11.3 - 11.1 - 11 - 9.7 - 9.7
Carson 10.3 - 10.3 - 2.5 - 12.5 - 11.3 - 10.7
Trump 12.4 - 14.8 - 16.2 - 17.8 - 19 - 19.6
Kasich 9.0 - 9.0
Perry 8.0 - 8.0
Fiorino 11.7

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_presidential_race.html

[PolWatch]

Polling Data



Poll
Date
Trump
Bush
Walker
Carson
Cruz
Rubio
Huckabee
Fiorina
Paul
Kasich
Christie
Perry
Santorum
Jindal
Graham
Spread


RCP Average
7/30 - 8/13
22.3
10.3
8.5
7.5
6.8
6.0
5.5
4.3
4.0
3.8
3.8
1.5
1.3
1.0
0.8
Trump +12.0



http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html

[Bob]

I suspect we will see a lot of different political polls between now & election day. While the only poll that really counts is the election, I like seeing poll results. Being a lazy person, I like Real Clear Politics because they provide an average of several major polls. Which polls (if any) do YOU like?

Paul & Rubio have consistently led the field

Today's results of Hillary v/s everyone:

Paul +2.8
Rubio +4.2
Huckabee +5.0
Bush +5.2
Walker +6.8
Cruz +8.3
Carson +11.7
Christie +12.3

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_presidential_race.html

This is all changed today.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/



Monday, August 17




Race/Topic (Click to Sort)
Poll
Results
Spread


General Election: Trump vs. Clinton (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html)
FOX News (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2015/08/14/fox-news-poll-sanders-gains-on-clinton/)
Clinton 47, Trump 42 (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html)
Clinton +5


General Election: Bush vs. Clinton (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_bush_vs_clinton-3827.html)
FOX News (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2015/08/14/fox-news-poll-sanders-gains-on-clinton/)
Clinton 42, Bush 44 (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_bush_vs_clinton-3827.html)
Bush +2


General Election: Rubio vs. Clinton (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_rubio_vs_clinton-3767.html)
FOX News (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2015/08/14/fox-news-poll-sanders-gains-on-clinton/)
Clinton 44, Rubio 46 (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_rubio_vs_clinton-3767.html)
Rubio +2


General Election: Fiorina vs. Clinton (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_fiorina_vs_clinton-5470.html)
FOX News (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2015/08/14/fox-news-poll-sanders-gains-on-clinton/)
Clinton 47, Fiorina 40 (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_fiorina_vs_clinton-5470.html)
Clinton +7

[PolWatch]

These figures are averaged from several polls....not just Fox News Polls

General election v/s Clinton (8/16)

Paul 5.5 - 5.5 - 5.5 - 4.4 - 4.4 - 5.2 - 3.8
Bush 3.4 - 2.6 - 4.2 - 4.6 - 6 - 5.8 - 5.6
Huckabee 8.0 - 8.0 - 8.0 - 7.3 - 7.3 - 7 - 5.0
Rubio 3.5 - 3.5 - 6.6 - 7.6 - 7.6 - 7.2 - 6.8
Cruz 7.6 - 7.6 - 7.6 - 8.5 - 8.5 - 8 - 8
Walker 4.7 - 5.5 - 6.6 - 9.0 - 10.6 - 10.4 - 9.8
Christie 11.3 - 11.3 - 11.3 - 11.1 - 11 - 9.7 - 9.7
Carson 10.3 - 10.3 - 10.3 - 2.5 - 12.5 - 11.3 - 10.7
Trump 10.4 - 12.4 - 14.8 - 16.2 - 17.8 - 19 - 19.6
Kasich 9.0 - 9.0 - 9.0
Perry 8.0 - 8.0 - 8.0
Fiorino 11.2 - 11.7

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...tial_race.html (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_presidential_race.html)

[PolWatch]

Polling Data

Poll
Date
Trump
Bush
Carson
Walker
Rubio
Cruz
Fiorina
Paul
Kasich
Huckabee
Christie
Perry
Santorum
Jindal
Graham
Spread


RCP Average
8/9 - 8/16
22.0
10.7
9.7
7.7
7.3
7.3
6.3
4.3
4.3
4.3
3.3
1.3
1.0
0.7
0.3
Trump +11.3


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html

[Tahuyaman]

Polls are so easily manipulated to obtain the desired results. I like knowing RCP averages the polls from several sources. At least a chance of being unbiased.


This should tell tell you all you need to know about polls....... http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2015/aug/19/deez-nuts-rising-polls-9-percent-nc/

[PolWatch]

I believe that the change in the majority in 2014 was not so much a statement of support for the repubs but a general feeling of throw-the-bums-out.....no matter what the party. Voters were disgusted with Congress and voted for change. I also believe that the repubs winning that majority could be a problem for them in 2016. We have not seen any real change with a different majority. The fingers pointing blame are just more numerous. It looks like my theory has basis in reality. If these numbers don't reflect another throw-the-bums-out building for 2016 I will be surprised.

(http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html)

Poll
Date
Sample

Approve
Disapprove
Spread


RCP Average
7/9 - 8/17
--
15.3
75.0
-59.7


The Economist/YouGov (https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/z1kujwx2c9/trackingreport.pdf)
8/15 - 8/17
1340 RV
13
62
-49


Gallup (http://www.gallup.com/poll/184556/congress-leaders-suffer-public-discontent.aspx)
8/5 - 8/9
1011 A
14
82
-68


CBS News (https://www.scribd.com/doc/273549872/Topline-CBS-Poll-Obama-Issues-8-4-15)
7/29 - 8/2
1252 A
17
74
-57


Associated Press-GfK (http://ap-gfkpoll.com/main/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/AP-GfK_Poll_July_2015-Topline_Obama.pdf)
7/9 - 7/13
1004 A
17
82
-65


All Congressional Job Approval Polling Data (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/congressional_job_approval-903.html#polls)


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/congressional_job_approval-903.html

[Professor Peabody]

I suspect we will see a lot of different political polls between now & election day. While the only poll that really counts is the election, I like seeing poll results. Being a lazy person, I like Real Clear Politics because they provide an average of several major polls. Which polls (if any) do YOU like?

Paul & Rubio have consistently led the field

Today's results of Hillary v/s everyone:

Paul +2.8
Rubio +4.2
Huckabee +5.0
Bush +5.2
Walker +6.8
Cruz +8.3
Carson +11.7
Christie +12.3

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_presidential_race.html


August 11, 2015, 12:52 am

Sanders pulls crowd of 27,500 in LA

By Jonathan Easley

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) attracted another huge crowd at a rally for his presidential campaign in Los Angeles on Monday night.

The Sanders campaign, citing Los Angeles Memorial Sports Arena officials, said 27,500 people were inside the venue or in an overflow area outside to hear Sanders speak.

On Sunday night, 28,000 people attended a Sanders rally in Portland, the largest crowd so far for any political event in the 2016 cycle.

On Saturday, an estimated 15,000 people turned out to see Sanders in Seattle.

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/250799-sanders-pulls-crowd-of-27500-in-los-angeles

Lets compare that to Hillary packing 'em in............


Virginia Democrats gave away tickets to a Hillary Clinton speech

Hunter Walker | Jun. 26, 2015, 6:29 PM

The Democratic Party of Virginia was giving away free tickets to an event featuring Hillary Clinton on Friday night.

Tickets for the event are being sold for $30 and $125. However, on Friday afternoon, some Virginia Democrats received an email advertising "FREE TICKETS" to the dinner. The email was given to Business Insider by a source. It contained a promotional code to get $30 tickets to the event for free.

"How bad is it out there for Hillary? She's gone from paid speeches to paying people to hear her speeches,"

http://www.businessinsider.com/democrats-giving-away-tickets-to-hillary-clinton-speech-2015-6

Remember the womens only event in NY?


Boys now allowed: Hillary opens up women-only event to men amid sputtering ticket sales

Organizers were hoping for 125 sign-ups - as the deadline approached, 'they’d only sold 50 tickets, so they threw it open to men,' source said

By Francesca Chambers For Dailymail.com | Published: 09:37 EST, 2 June 2015

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3107599/Boys-allowed-Hillary-opens-women-event-men-amid-sputtering-ticket-sales.html


I also thing they'll dig Gore outta the crypt to run on the Global Warming ticket....But, only Uncle Al can save us all platform.

[PolWatch]

Why would you think that a post & articles from JUNE (about polls) has anything to recommend it in AUGUST is a mystery. Maybe you live in a cell and are getting your news 3 months late.

[PolWatch]

General election v/s Clinton (9/10)

Bush 1.2 - 3.4 - 2.6 - 4.2 - 4.6 - 6 - 5.8 - 5.6
Carson 1.6 - 10.3 - 10.3 - 10.3 - 2.5 - 12.5 - 11.3 - 10.7
Rubio 2.3 - 3.5 - 3.5 - 6.6 - 7.6 - 7.6 - 7.2 - 6.8
Trump 2.8 - 10.4 - 12.4 - 14.8 - 16.2 - 17.8 - 19 - 19.6
Paul 4.0 - 5.5 - 5.5 - 5.5 - 4.4 - 4.4 - 5.2 - 3.8
Fiorino 6.3 - 11.2 - 11.7
Kasich 7.5 - 9.0 - 9.0 - 9.0
Huckabee 7.7 - 8.0 - 8.0 - 8.0 - 7.3 - 7.3 - 7 - 5.0
Cruz 7.7 - 7.6 - 7.6 - 7.6 - 8.5 - 8.5 - 8 - 8
Christie 9.0 - 11.3 - 11.3 - 11.3 - 11.1 - 11 - 9.7 - 9.7

RCP has a couple of new races listed:

Trump vs Biden: Biden with 8.0
Bush vs Biden: Biden with 6.3
Trump vs Sanders: Trump with 0.7
Bush vs Sanders: Sanders with 0.6

Perry OUT 8.0 - 8.0 - 8.0
Walker OUT 4.7 - 5.5 - 6.6 - 9.0 - 10.6 - 10.4 - 9.8
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_presidential_race.html

[PolWatch]

Republican Nomination


Poll
Date
Trump
Carson
Bush
Rubio
Cruz
Fiorina
Huckabee
Paul
Kasich

Christie
Walker
Perry
Santorum
Jindal
Graham
Spread


RCP Average
8/31 - 9/19
28.5
18.8
7.8
7.3
6.5
6.3
4.8
3.5
2.5
1.8
1.8
1.0
0.8
0.3
0.0
Trump +9.7

[PolWatch]

General election v/s Clinton (9/22)

For the first time, RCP shows someone BEATING Clinton:

Carson + 0.5 - 1.6 - 10.3 - 10.3 - 10.3 - 2.5 - 12.5 - 11.3 - 10.7

Bush 0.4 - 1.2 - 3.4 - 2.6 - 4.2 - 4.6 - 6 - 5.8 - 5.6
Rubio 2.3 - 2.3 - 3.5 - 3.5 - 6.6 - 7.6 - 7.6 - 7.2 - 6.8
Trump 2.7 - 2.8 - 10.4 - 12.4 - 14.8 - 16.2 - 17.8 - 19 - 19.6
Paul 4.0 - 4.0 - 5.5 - 5.5 - 5.5 - 4.4 - 4.4 - 5.2 - 3.8
Fiorino 4.5 - 6.3 - 11.2 - 11.7
Kasich 7.5 - 7.5 - 9.0 - 9.0 - 9.0
Huckabee 7.5 - 7.7 - 8.0 - 8.0 - 8.0 - 7.3 - 7.3 - 7 - 5.0
Cruz 7.7 - 7.7 - 7.6 - 7.6 - 7.6 - 8.5 - 8.5 - 8 - 8
Christie 9.0 - 9.0 - 11.3 - 11.3 - 11.3 - 11.1 - 11 - 9.7 - 9.7

RCP has a couple of new races listed:

Trump vs Biden: Biden + 8.6 - 8.0
Bush vs Biden: Biden + 6.0 - 6.3
Trump vs Sanders: TIE - Trump + 0.7
Bush vs Sanders: Bush + 0.6 - Sanders + 0.6

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_presidential_race.html

[PolWatch]

Republican nomination: Trump leading
Polling Data

Poll
Date
Trump
Carson
Fiorina
Rubio
Bush
Cruz
Kasich
Christie
Huckabee
Paul
Santorum
Walker
Pataki
Jindal
Graham
Spread


RCP Average
9/17 - 9/24
23.4
17.0

11.6
9.6
9.2
6.2
3.6
3.4
3.2
2.4
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.0
Trump +6.4

[PolWatch]

Democratic nomination: Clinton's lead is droppingPolling Data

Poll
Date
Sample
Clinton
Sanders
Biden
Webb
O'Malley
Chafee
Spread


RCP Average
9/17 - 9/24
--
40.8
27.6
20.0
0.8
0.8
0.0
Clinton +13.2

[hanger4]

Democratic nomination: Clinton's lead is droppingPolling Data

Poll
Date
Sample
Clinton
Sanders
Biden
Webb
O'Malley
Chafee
Spread


RCP Average
9/17 - 9/24
--
40.8
27.6
20.0
0.8
0.8
0.0
Clinton +13.2



I don't understand the Biden part. He's not running. Having his name in the poll just skews the numbers.

[PolWatch]

I don't understand the Biden part. He's not running. Having his name in the poll just skews the numbers.

It doesn't make much sense to me either. RCP averages several major polls to get their figures and some polls included Biden.

[Peter1469]

Clinton's poll numbers drop ahead of 1st (D) debate (https://ca.news.yahoo.com/clintons-support-slides-ahead-first-democratic-debate-221936118.html).

In the week leading up to the debate, Hillary's poll numbers are dropping. I wonder how she is doing with the electors?


From October 4 to October 9, Clinton saw her support tumble from 51 percent of Democratic support to just 41 percent.


Her nearest competitors, Vermont Senator Sanders and Vice President of the U.S. Joe Biden, who has yet to decide whether he will run, both made gains. Support for Sanders jumped from just over 24 percent to 28 percent, and Biden rose from 16 percent to a even 20 percent in the same time period.



Read more at the link.

[Common]

Gallup Refuses to Poll the Presidential Election, i found that interesting and telling. If gallup wont poll it then it must be to volatile to be accurate

[hanger4]

Gallup Refuses to Poll the Presidential Election, i found that interesting and telling. If gallup wont poll it then it must be to volatile to be accurate

According to Gallup it's because they been so wrong recently. .... "
But after a bruising 2012 cycle, in which its polls were farther off than most of its competitors, Gallup told POLITICO it isn't planning any polls for the presidential primary horse race this cycle. And, even following an internal probe into what went wrong last time around, Gallup won't commit to tracking the general election next year." ........ http://www.politico.com/story/2015/10/gallup-poll-2016-pollsters-214493

[Peter1469]

If the polls are calling people on landlines their results won't create a real sample of the population. I don't know if they call cell phones now, but most people I know won't answer their cell if they don't recognize the number.

[hanger4]

I think pre-election polls are a waste of time anyway. I think they sway some voters into voting or not voting. Cold, raining, snowing, long ass lines and my candidate is way up or down, whats the point. Same thing with calling national races before the last voting poll has closed, which is Hawaii I believe. I have family that lives there, they have told me it is a problem. My sibling votes there mostly for bitch rights.