Democratic Voting Enthusiasm Down Sharply From 2004, 2008

[texmaster]

More great but expected news.

Democrats are significantly less likely now (39%) than they were in the summers of 2004 and 2008 to say they are "more enthusiastic about voting than usual" in the coming presidential election. Republicans are more enthusiastic now than in 2008, and the same as in 2004.

These results are based on a July 19-22 USA Today/Gallup poll. They suggest a shift in Republicans' and Democrats' orientation to voting in the coming presidential election compared with the last two, with Republicans expressing more voting enthusiasm. The current 51% to 39% Republican advantage in voter enthusiasm is slightly larger than the 53% to 45% GOP advantage Gallup measured in February (http://www.gallup.com/poll/153038/GOP-Slightly-Ahead-Voting-Enthusiasm.aspx) of this year. The voting enthusiasm measure gives a sense of Americans' motivation to turn out and vote but probably also their expectations of their preferred party's chances of winning. Thus, the Republican advantage may indicate a greater likelihood of voting among Republicans but also greater optimism about a Republican victory than was the case in 2008. In turn, Democrats are probably less optimistic about their chances of winning than they were in 2008.



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[Peter1469]

Hope and change....

[coolwalker]

I heard this on the radio this morning and got a good laugh. Yep all those first time voters will become last time voters because 90% of those people don't understand or like America in the first plce.

[roadmaster]

It's hard to be positive about the economy and just about every week we see another picture of a young man or women in the service killed from this state in overseas operations.

[Trinnity]

What have they got to be enthusiastic about? Obama sucks and they know it.

[Captain America]

I think the dems aren't as fired up for the following reasons.

1. Bush is already gone.
2. Obama has yet to start is stadium rock star tour.
3. All poll averages show Obama to be the next president and they assume it's in the bag.

I tell ya folks, don't bet a nickel, much less your credible reputation, that either one of them will win at this point in the game.

[Chris]

Heard this too but I think you also have to look at swing states where the vote really matters. Texas will vote Rep, despite dem wishful thinking, and CA dem, so why campaign much there, enthusiasm matters little. The battleground states will be heated. There I think Obama slightly ahead.

[patrickt]

Democratic voter enthusiasm is doing fine. It's the Democrat Party voter enthusiasm that is lagging. We have to remember that the Democrat Party, the party of Card Check and election fraud, is not at all democratic.

[coolwalker]

I think the dems aren't as fired up for the following reasons.

1. Bush is already gone.
2. Obama has yet to start is stadium rock star tour.
3. All poll averages show Obama to be the next president and they assume it's in the bag.

I tell ya folks, don't bet a nickel, much less your credible reputation, that either one of them will win at this point in the game.

Obamas chances are looking bleek.
1. The Negros who voted in huge numbers are not going to follow suit this time...it's the gay thing that their churches don't like.
2. The college students who carried the vote for barry now are in the real world, living at home with mom and dad because they can't find a job.
3. The Caucasian guilt vote is over their guilt and redy to have money back in their pockets.
4. The Jewish vote this time will not be as strong for democrats because of Obamas stance(s) on The Middle east.
5. The Latino vote may provide a bit more votes for Romney that expected, depending on the VP pick...Rubio is what I mean (however it's doubtful he will be picked)
6. The Undecided vote will probably lean more toward the challanger...it's why they are undecided in the first place.

All in all Obama is on a slippery slope. His bowing to foreign leaders, his disdain for America in general (apologizing for us) and his arrogance are his undoing.

[MMC]

Florida Polling.....

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/fl/florida_romney_vs_obama-1883.html


Real Clear politics has Obama 45.8% Romney-44.7%

Purple Strategies has Romney 48% Obama 45%

Rasmussen has Romney 46% Obama 45%

USA has Obama 48% Romney 45%

Quinnepac has Obama 45% Romney 41%

Mason Dixon has Obama 46% Romney 45%

Miami Herald Romney 48% Obama 44%

Sunshine State News Romney 46% Obama 42%

[MMC]

Battleground states.....

President Obama leads Mitt Romney 47-45% in a new NPR poll among all voters. (Here’s the full poll (http://www.npr.org/news/polls/npr.pdf).)The polloversampled voters in battleground states and found Obama andRomney tied (http://www.npr.org/2012/07/18/156987168/npr-poll-obama-romney-tied-in-battleground-states), 46-46%. The poll was conducted by Resurgent Republic, a Republican firm, and Democracy Corps, a Democratic one. Obama’s approval in the poll is 49%-46%.


Romney leads in a CBS/NYT poll (http://www.scribd.com/fullscreen/100452979?access_key=key-ryu3ook8911rwaps7nx), 47%-46%. It’s the first time Romney’s led in the CBS poll since the end of the primary. Obama’s approval is 44%/46%, on the economy it’s 39%-55%, and on foreign policy, he’s even a net-negative at 41%-42%.
“Declining confidence in the nation’s economic prospects appears to be the most powerful force influencing voters as the presidential election gears up, undercutting key areas of support for President Obama and helping give his Republican challenger, Mitt Romney, an advantage on the question of who would better handle the nation’s economic challenges, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News Poll,” the Times (http://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/19/us/politics/poll-shows-economic-fears-undercutting-obama-support.html?pagewanted=all) writes. In particular, “the poll showed a significant shift in opinion about Mr. Obama’s handling of the economy, with 39 percent now saying they approved and 55 percent saying they disapproved. In the Times/CBS poll in April, when the economy seemed to have momentum, 44 percent approved and 48 percent disapproved.”

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/07/19/12831996-2012-new-polls?lite