OGIS
04-09-2016, 12:11 PM
I'm more and more impressed with the Atlantic.
How the Republican Race Could End
Regardless of which scenario prevails, there’s likely to be conflict in Cleveland.
Even before Ted Cruz thrashed Donald Trump in Wisconsin, there was incessant buzz in political circles about the possibility of a contested convention in Cleveland. Since Wisconsin, the buzz has ramped up substantially, consuming hundreds of hours of bloviation on cable news networks. I’ve been gratified to see that, after months of effort (http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2015/08/maybe-this-time-really-is-different/401900/) by me and others, the term “brokered convention” has largely been dropped. There will be no brokers in Cleveland capable of delivering the nomination.
Now, at last, some of our best analysts are weighing in with plausible scenarios, including Francis Wilkinson (http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2016-04-06/a-convention-coup-endangers-republican-party) and Josh Putnam (https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/04/05/heres-exactly-how-an-open-republican-convention-would-work/?postshare=871459860709517&tid=ss_tw). Here are my own scenarios for what might happen next:
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/04/five-ways-the-republican-race-could-end/477324/
How the Republican Race Could End
Regardless of which scenario prevails, there’s likely to be conflict in Cleveland.
Even before Ted Cruz thrashed Donald Trump in Wisconsin, there was incessant buzz in political circles about the possibility of a contested convention in Cleveland. Since Wisconsin, the buzz has ramped up substantially, consuming hundreds of hours of bloviation on cable news networks. I’ve been gratified to see that, after months of effort (http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2015/08/maybe-this-time-really-is-different/401900/) by me and others, the term “brokered convention” has largely been dropped. There will be no brokers in Cleveland capable of delivering the nomination.
Now, at last, some of our best analysts are weighing in with plausible scenarios, including Francis Wilkinson (http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2016-04-06/a-convention-coup-endangers-republican-party) and Josh Putnam (https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/04/05/heres-exactly-how-an-open-republican-convention-would-work/?postshare=871459860709517&tid=ss_tw). Here are my own scenarios for what might happen next:
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/04/five-ways-the-republican-race-could-end/477324/