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Bo-4
05-01-2016, 10:47 AM
Remember the one about a few days ago showing Calgary Ted up by 16 in Indiana?

Outlier Alert



NBC/WSJ/Marist (http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/NEWS/NBC NewsWSJMarist.pdf)
4/26 - 4/28
645 LV
3.9
49
34
13
Trump +15


ARG* (http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/rep/inrep.html)
4/27 - 4/28
400 LV
5.0
41
32
21
Trump +9


Clout Research (R) (http://cloutpolitical.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/31/2016/04/IN-GOP-PRIMARY-POLL-TOPLINE-REPORT-4-28-2016.pdf)
4/27 - 4/27
423 LV
4.8
37
35
16
Trump +2


CBS News/YouGov (http://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-donald-trump-hillary-clinton-party-front-runners-lead-in-pennsylvania-indiana/)
4/20 - 4/22
548 LV
6.6
40
35
20
Trump +5


IPFW/Downs Center (http://www.journalgazette.net/news/local/indiana/Young--Cruz-favored-by-Hoosier-Republicans-in-IPFW-poll-12818419)
4/13 - 4/27
400 LV
4.9
29
45
13
Cruz +16


FOX News (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/04/22/fox-news-poll-trump-tops-cruz-by-eight-points-in-indiana.html?intcmp=hpbt2)
4/18 - 4/21
602 LV
4.0
41
33
16
Trump +8


WTHR/Howey Politics (http://www.wthr.com/story/31792956/exclusive-wthrhpi-poll-trump-clinton-ahead-in-indiana)
4/18 - 4/21
507 LV
4.3
37
31
22
Trump +6



http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/donald-trump-indiana-poll-ted-cruz_us_572604abe4b0b49df6ab9038?utm_hp_ref=politi cs

Meanwhile - inside Camp Cruz .. Confidence Crumbles. :)

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/ted-cruz-campaign-nervous-222675

MisterVeritis
05-01-2016, 10:50 AM
Remember the one about a few days ago showing Calgary Ted up by 16?
Meanwhile - inside Camp Cruz .. Confidence Crumbles. :)

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/ted-cruz-campaign-nervous-222675
Shall we start writing an appropriate footer for your messages Bo-4?

Trump will be the Republican nominee.

Subdermal
05-01-2016, 10:56 AM
Shall we start writing an appropriate footer for your messages Bo-4?

Trump will be the Republican nominee.

Did you make a bet I missed? :D

Bo-4
05-01-2016, 11:00 AM
Shall we start writing an appropriate footer for your messages Bo-4?

Trump will be the Republican nominee.

Oh i completely agree MV.

And i'm fine with that (Trump's current nationalist gig is an act - down deep he's a moderate).

Cruz was polling WAY better than The Donald against Hillary and IMHO he's a far more dangerous individual.

Mac-7
05-01-2016, 11:09 AM
Remember the one about a few days ago showing Calgary Ted up by 16 in Indiana?

Outlier Alert



NBC/WSJ/Marist (http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/NEWS/NBC NewsWSJMarist.pdf)
4/26 - 4/28
645 LV
3.9
49
34
13
Trump +15


ARG* (http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/rep/inrep.html)
4/27 - 4/28
400 LV
5.0
41
32
21
Trump +9


Clout Research (R) (http://cloutpolitical.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/31/2016/04/IN-GOP-PRIMARY-POLL-TOPLINE-REPORT-4-28-2016.pdf)
4/27 - 4/27
423 LV
4.8
37
35
16
Trump +2


CBS News/YouGov (http://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-donald-trump-hillary-clinton-party-front-runners-lead-in-pennsylvania-indiana/)
4/20 - 4/22
548 LV
6.6
40
35
20
Trump +5


IPFW/Downs Center (http://www.journalgazette.net/news/local/indiana/Young--Cruz-favored-by-Hoosier-Republicans-in-IPFW-poll-12818419)
4/13 - 4/27
400 LV
4.9
29
45
13
Cruz +16


FOX News (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/04/22/fox-news-poll-trump-tops-cruz-by-eight-points-in-indiana.html?intcmp=hpbt2)
4/18 - 4/21
602 LV
4.0
41
33
16
Trump +8


WTHR/Howey Politics (http://www.wthr.com/story/31792956/exclusive-wthrhpi-poll-trump-clinton-ahead-in-indiana)
4/18 - 4/21
507 LV
4.3
37
31
22
Trump +6



http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/donald-trump-indiana-poll-ted-cruz_us_572604abe4b0b49df6ab9038?utm_hp_ref=politi cs

Meanwhile - inside Camp Cruz .. Confidence Crumbles. :)

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/ted-cruz-campaign-nervous-222675

Ted Cruz is my first choice but trump is clearly pulling ahead

Bo-4
05-01-2016, 12:09 PM
There's a massive surge in Hispanic voter registration in California and elsewhere.

Guess why :)

Doesn't bode so well for The Donald.

http://www.breitbart.com/california/2016/04/25/democrats-have-surge-in-voter-registration-in-california/

Peter1469
05-01-2016, 12:16 PM
Trump won large majorities in the southern border counties. Those have high percentages of legal latinos.

I wouldn't place too much stock in the current narrative that legal Latinos are anti-Trump.

Bo-4
05-01-2016, 12:33 PM
Trump won large majorities in the southern border counties. Those have high percentages of legal latinos.

I wouldn't place too much stock in the current narrative that legal Latinos are anti-Trump.

Yeah, but most of them were closed primaries.

So i would. ;-)

http://content.gallup.com/origin/gallupinc/GallupSpaces/Production/Cms/POLL/s1n2s5pfk0oyzx9l3ihw_g.png

Peter1469
05-01-2016, 12:34 PM
Yeah, but most of them were closed primaries.

So i would. ;-)

http://content.gallup.com/origin/gallupinc/GallupSpaces/Production/Cms/POLL/s1n2s5pfk0oyzx9l3ihw_g.png

I am not sure those polls are legit.

Bo-4
05-01-2016, 12:39 PM
I am not sure those polls are legit.

Okay but if not for Trump; to what would you attribute the massive surge in Hispanic voter registration ...

Hmmmm?

MisterVeritis
05-01-2016, 02:57 PM
Did you make a bet I missed? :D
The way I remember it Bo-4 bet me 30 days off this forum if Trump was not the Republican nominee. I counter-offered that the winner, that would be me, would get to write the loser's, that would be Bo-4's message footer. Trump is going to win.

I never bet. But this was interesting.

I bet Trump will easily defeat Hillary.

Bo-4
05-01-2016, 04:55 PM
The way I remember it Bo-4 bet me 30 days off this forum if Trump was not the Republican nominee. I counter-offered that the winner, that would be me, would get to write the loser's, that would be Bo-4's message footer. Trump is going to win.

I never bet. But this was interesting.

I bet Trump will easily defeat Hillary.

OmG i believe you to be correct MisterVeritis!


Bo-4 bet me 30 days off this forum if Trump was not the Republican nominee

Uhmm k.. but let's clarify - I think Trump WILL be the R nominee .. did you?

As for .....


Trump will easily defeat Hillary?

HMMM.. even if you misspoke -- if Trump defeats Hilly in a general election contest then i will permanently bail from this forum!

Neither Trump nor Calgary Ted will ever be president.

Peter1469
05-01-2016, 06:16 PM
if Trump defeats Hilly in a general election contest then i will permanently bail from this forum!



I don't think that you should bail on the forum.

MisterVeritis
05-01-2016, 07:42 PM
OmG i believe you to be correct @MisterVeritis (http://thepoliticalforums.com/member.php?u=1287)!



Uhmm k.. but let's clarify - I think Trump WILL be the R nominee .. did you?

As for .....



HMMM.. even if you misspoke -- if Trump defeats Hilly in a general election contest then i will permanently bail from this forum!

Neither Trump nor Calgary Ted will ever be president.
LOL. Yes. Trump will be the nominee. And yes, independent of our first bet, Trump will easily defeat Hillary.

MisterVeritis
05-01-2016, 07:44 PM
HMMM.. even if you misspoke -- if Trump defeats Hilly in a general election contest then i will permanently bail from this forum!

Neither Trump nor Calgary Ted will ever be president.
Why would I want you to leave? I just want a footer for your messages that says MisterVeritis was right. He usually is. :-)

The Xl
05-01-2016, 07:48 PM
The only person that has a shot at beating Trump legit was Bernie.

Bo-4
05-02-2016, 10:39 AM
The only person that has a shot at beating Trump legit was Bernie.

Nah, Bernie does around 50% better against Trump than Hillary - but she'll trounce him too.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html