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Cigar
08-01-2016, 12:13 PM
In the wake of the Republican and Democratic national conventions, voters are more likely to support Hillary Clinton than Donald Trump, according to a Gallup poll released Monday.

While 36 percent of adults are more likely to support Trump coming out of the RNC, 51 percent are less likely to vote for the real estate mogul after the GOP’s four-day event. The -15 net rating is the worst mark for the Republican nominee coming out of the convention since Gallup began asking the question in 1984, though the 1984 and 1992 GOP conventions were excluded


The convention has also shaped the views of the Republican Party. Fifty-two percent of those surveyed said they have a less favorable view of the GOP now, while 35 percent see the party more favorably.

After the DNC, 45 percent of adults said they were more likely to back Clinton, though 41 percent said they’re now less likely to do so. While the percent of respondents more inclined to vote for Clinton coming out of the convention is on par with the past two decades for the Democratic nominee, the 41 percent who are less likely to vote for Clinton represents the highest mark since 1984.

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/poll-clinton-trump-dnc-2016-226507


http://bestanimations.com/Military/Explosions/atomic-mushroom-cloud-explosion-2-2.gif (http://bestanimations.com/Military/Explosions/Explosions2.html)

Oboe
08-01-2016, 12:19 PM
If Clinton wins, I'll just keep on doing what I have been doing. Preparing for the worst.

Adelaide
08-01-2016, 12:33 PM
Trumps numbers were inevitably going to go up after the RNC convention and inevitably going to drop following the DNC convention. I would not put too much stock into it as some kind of message about the future.

Oboe
08-01-2016, 12:36 PM
Polls are all biased anyway.

Bethere
08-01-2016, 12:55 PM
In the wake of the Republican and Democratic national conventions, voters are more likely to support Hillary Clinton than Donald Trump, according to a Gallup poll released Monday.

While 36 percent of adults are more likely to support Trump coming out of the RNC, 51 percent are less likely to vote for the real estate mogul after the GOP’s four-day event. The -15 net rating is the worst mark for the Republican nominee coming out of the convention since Gallup began asking the question in 1984, though the 1984 and 1992 GOP conventions were excluded


The convention has also shaped the views of the Republican Party. Fifty-two percent of those surveyed said they have a less favorable view of the GOP now, while 35 percent see the party more favorably.

After the DNC, 45 percent of adults said they were more likely to back Clinton, though 41 percent said they’re now less likely to do so. While the percent of respondents more inclined to vote for Clinton coming out of the convention is on par with the past two decades for the Democratic nominee, the 41 percent who are less likely to vote for Clinton represents the highest mark since 1984.

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/poll-clinton-trump-dnc-2016-226507


http://bestanimations.com/Military/Explosions/atomic-mushroom-cloud-explosion-2-2.gif (http://bestanimations.com/Military/Explosions/Explosions2.html)


History teaches us that whoever is winning after the conventions will win in November. That has happened every election since Johnson's according to nate silver today.

Subdermal
08-01-2016, 01:01 PM
History also taught you that 90% top marginal tax rates brought in nearly 0 revenue, because nearly no one paid it, but that didn't stop you from promoting a lie.

suds00
08-01-2016, 01:14 PM
i don't know.this country will be hard-pressed to survive a trump presidency.i'd be less concerned with pence or kaine

Cigar
08-01-2016, 01:17 PM
History also taught you that 90% top marginal tax rates brought in nearly 0 revenue, because nearly no one paid it, but that didn't stop you from promoting a lie.


Election Update: Clinton’s Bounce Appears Bigger Than Trump’sInitial polls conducted after the Democratic National Convention suggest that Hillary Clinton has received a convention bounce. In fact, it appears likely that Clinton’s bounce will exceed Donald Trump’s, which measured at 3 to 4 percentage points. Thus, Clinton will potentially exit the conventions in a stronger position than she entered them, perhaps also making up for some of the ground she lost to Trump earlier in July. This is good news for Clinton, but we’ll need to wait a few weeks to see if she can sustain her bounce before we can conclude that the race has been fundamentally changed.

Before we continue, a quick note or two about terminology. When we refer to a candidate’s “bounce,” we mean the net gain in her standing in the polls, including changes to her opponent’s vote share. For example, if the previous XYZ News poll had it Clinton 42 percent, Trump 40 percent, and their new poll has it Clinton 44, Trump 39, we’d call that a 3-point bounce for Clinton, since Clinton gained 2 percentage points and Trump lost 1 point.1

Also, when evaluating the gains a candidate has made, it’s important to note when the previous poll was conducted. Based on our models, Clinton led by 6 to 7 percentage points throughout most of June, but her lead dissipated to around 3 percentage points by mid- to late July, just before the conventions. Then, after the Republican National Convention in Cleveland, Trump pulled into an approximate tie with Clinton. It’s those post-RNC polls that make for the best comparison when describing Clinton’s bounce.

So far, however, the post-convention polls have been strong enough for Clinton that there isn’t a lot of need to worry about semantics. They suggest that she possibly holds a lead over Trump in the mid- to high single digits, instead of being tied with him. Here are the fully post-convention polls we’ve seen so far:


http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-clintons-bounce-appears-bigger-than-trumps/


Bounce Baby Bounce ... http://www.democraticunderground.com/emoticons/bounce.gif

Bethere
08-01-2016, 01:17 PM
History also taught you that 90% top marginal tax rates brought in nearly 0 revenue, because nearly no one paid it, but that didn't stop you from promoting a lie.

15523

texan
08-01-2016, 01:43 PM
Interestingly enough this election has the most undecided voters since 1992.......................So there is that!

Truth Detector
08-01-2016, 01:45 PM
History teaches us that whoever is winning after the conventions will win in November. That has happened every election since Johnson's according to nate silver today.

Link? History also tells us that when the economy sucks, the party in the White House loses. History also teaches us that the Democratic Party has NEVER won back to back Presidencies.

You can learn a lot from history; if you're not a liberal. :biglaugh:

Truth Detector
08-01-2016, 01:46 PM
Election Update: Clinton’s Bounce Appears Bigger Than Trump’sInitial polls conducted after the Democratic National Convention suggest that Hillary Clinton has received a convention bounce. In fact, it appears likely that Clinton’s bounce will exceed Donald Trump’s, which measured at 3 to 4 percentage points. Thus, Clinton will potentially exit the conventions in a stronger position than she entered them, perhaps also making up for some of the ground she lost to Trump earlier in July. This is good news for Clinton, but we’ll need to wait a few weeks to see if she can sustain her bounce before we can conclude that the race has been fundamentally changed.

Before we continue, a quick note or two about terminology. When we refer to a candidate’s “bounce,” we mean the net gain in her standing in the polls, including changes to her opponent’s vote share. For example, if the previous XYZ News poll had it Clinton 42 percent, Trump 40 percent, and their new poll has it Clinton 44, Trump 39, we’d call that a 3-point bounce for Clinton, since Clinton gained 2 percentage points and Trump lost 1 point.1

Also, when evaluating the gains a candidate has made, it’s important to note when the previous poll was conducted. Based on our models, Clinton led by 6 to 7 percentage points throughout most of June, but her lead dissipated to around 3 percentage points by mid- to late July, just before the conventions. Then, after the Republican National Convention in Cleveland, Trump pulled into an approximate tie with Clinton. It’s those post-RNC polls that make for the best comparison when describing Clinton’s bounce.

So far, however, the post-convention polls have been strong enough for Clinton that there isn’t a lot of need to worry about semantics. They suggest that she possibly holds a lead over Trump in the mid- to high single digits, instead of being tied with him. Here are the fully post-convention polls we’ve seen so far:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-clintons-bounce-appears-bigger-than-trumps/

Bounce Baby Bounce ... http://www.democraticunderground.com/emoticons/bounce.gif

Gosh; the election is over right? Trump should just throw in the towel now. :biglaugh:

Truth Detector
08-01-2016, 01:46 PM
15523

That's all you got isn't it? :biglaugh:

Truth Detector
08-01-2016, 01:47 PM
Interestingly enough this election has the most undecided voters since 1992.......................So there is that!

I think most already know; they just wont admit they will be pulling the lever for Trump.

zelmo1234
08-01-2016, 02:09 PM
History teaches us that whoever is winning after the conventions will win in November. That has happened every election since Johnson's according to nate silver today.

Well accept for Reagan, Clinton, and Bush But other than those it happened every time.

zelmo1234
08-01-2016, 02:11 PM
If the primary is any Guide, Trump will end up with about 3% more than he is polling.

I know that the never Trump people are promising to vote for The Pot Head. But when they step into the booth they have to decide if the country can take 30+ years of liberals legislating from the Supreme Court.

That is going to be a hard one to swallow.

texan
08-01-2016, 03:12 PM
Link? History also tells us that when the economy sucks, the party in the White House loses. History also teaches us that the Democratic Party has NEVER won back to back Presidencies.

You can learn a lot from history; if you're not a liberal. :biglaugh:

Don't think he heard Nate silver correctly, I found this:

POLLING AVERAGEYEARHEADING INTO CONVENTIONS30 DAYS AFTER CONVENTIONSACTUAL RESULT1972


http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-clintons-bounce-appears-bigger-than-trumps/

FindersKeepers
08-01-2016, 03:21 PM
History teaches us that whoever is winning after the conventions will win in November. That has happened every election since Johnson's according to nate silver today.


LOL

No, that's not what Silver said.

Bethere
08-01-2016, 03:36 PM
Well accept for Reagan, Clinton, and Bush But other than those it happened every time.

"Except."

Subdermal
08-01-2016, 03:48 PM
Hey. Remember that bus tour that Clinton and Kaine went on after the Convention?

No? Me either. Know why? Because virtually no one showed up.

That speaks volumes about Hillary's chances.

http://i.imgur.com/yFHjOUJ.gif

Bethere
08-01-2016, 06:43 PM
That's all you got isn't it? :biglaugh:

No.15530