PDA

View Full Version : tPF Could Millennials Cost Clinton the Presidency?



Peter1469
09-17-2016, 05:05 PM
Could Millennials Cost Clinton the Presidency? (https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/641949?unlock=DAKB06GGNCXUJMFX&mref=homepage-free)

The young liberal generation is moving towards Johnson and Stein- away from the democratic party. Hillary is so worried that she has asked Algore to tell the younger generation that her campaign is like a polar bear on an ice flow melting from man-made global warming. Never mind that polar bears can swim, and that the younger crowd views Algore as a clown.


One of the most sur*pris*ing ele*ments of this pres*id*en*tial cam*paign is the lack of en*gage*ment from Pres*id*ent Obama’s di*verse base of mil*len*ni*als and non*white voters—des*pite the pres*ence of the deeply-di*vis*ive Don*ald Trump in the race. Polling sug*gests the race is highly com*pet*it*ive, driv*en by Trump’s sup*port*ers say*ing they’re more likely to show up at the polls than Hil*lary Clin*ton’s. And the main reas*on Clin*ton finds her*self in trouble is that she doesn’t ap*peal to many of the same voters who flocked to back Obama in 2008 and 2012.

The mostly lib*er*al mil*len*ni*als were ex*pec*ted to be a crit*ic*al part of Clin*ton’s win*ning co*ali*tion, but it turns out they hold a dim view of her can*did*acy. In the Demo*crat*ic primar*ies, she won less than 30 per*cent of their sup*port against Bernie Sanders. A re*mark*able 77 per*cent don’t think she’s hon*est, ac*cord*ing to a newQuin*nipi*ac na*tion*al sur*vey (https://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2379). A slew of polls re*leased this week show these voters are mov*ing to third-party can*did*ates in re*mark*ably high num*bers. Liber*tari*an nom*in*ee Gary John*son and Green Party can*did*ate Jill Stein tal*lied a whop*ping 44 per*cent of the vote among mil*len*ni*als, ac*cord*ing to the Quin*nipi*ac poll—three times their sup*port among all voters. It’s not an out*lier: A CBS/New York Times sur*vey (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/clintons-real-risk-is-young-voters-going-for-third-parties-lewandowski-defends-trumps-foreign-links-2016-09-15?siteid=rss) re*leased Thursday shows the two win*ning 36 per*cent of the same con*stitu*ency.

That’s the dif*fer*ence between a nar*row Clin*ton lead and a dead-even race. In a two-way con*test, Clin*ton leads by 5 (Quin*nipi*ac) and 2 (CBS/NYT). In a four-way race, Clin*ton’s lead shrinks to 2 (Quin*nipi*ac) or dis*ap*pears en*tirely (CBS/NYT). Without John*son and Stein in the field, Clin*ton holds a sub*stan*tial lead over Trump with mil*len*ni*als. But her 21-point ad*vant*age over Trump among mil*len*ni*als shrinks to just 5 points when John*son and Stein are on the bal*lot.

The Clin*ton cam*paign knows it has a prob*lem with young voters and is pro*mot*ing five events in Ohio with Bernie Sanders and Eliza*beth War*ren this week*end as ones that “lay out the stakes for mil*len*ni*al voters.” It’s pos*sible that as the elec*tion draws closer, lib*er*al young*er voters will re*luct*antly rally be*hind Clin*ton rather than risk giv*ing the elec*tion to Trump. But it’s also very plaus*ible that apathet*ic young voters will simply stay home.

Read the entire article at the link.

Green Arrow
09-17-2016, 05:11 PM
Probably. The Democrats chose the wrong candidate.

exploited
09-17-2016, 05:13 PM
Millennials will stay home, or vote third-party, and they will be heavily criticized by Boomer Liberals for daring to vote for somebody they actually want to win.

Peter1469
09-17-2016, 05:21 PM
Millennials will stay home, or vote third-party, and they will be heavily criticized by Boomer Liberals for daring to vote for somebody they actually want to win.

true