Donald Trump canceling TV ads in Ohio, Florida, other key states

[Bethere]

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=http://www.dispatch.com/content/stories/local/2016/10/07/trump-cancels-ads-in-ohio.html&ved=0ahUKEwia27XY5cnPAhUClx4KHS_kC3QQFggxMAU&usg=AFQjCNHm19b1K0DZD76WV3KQcMzvQzq2Tg

Good times!

Why would he do such a thing? Your thoughts?

See you on 11-08-2016.

[ripmeister]

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=http://www.dispatch.com/content/stories/local/2016/10/07/trump-cancels-ads-in-ohio.html&ved=0ahUKEwia27XY5cnPAhUClx4KHS_kC3QQFggxMAU&usg=AFQjCNHm19b1K0DZD76WV3KQcMzvQzq2Tg

Good times!

Why would he do such a thing? Your thoughts?

See you on 11-08-2016.

Maybe one of the adds showed him grabbing a woman's cuchi?

[Chris]

As the linked article explains, he's running short on funding and will shift focus from state to national level. Good an explanation as any so far.

Why do you think, bethere?

[pjohns]

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=http://www.dispatch.com/content/stories/local/2016/10/07/trump-cancels-ads-in-ohio.html&ved=0ahUKEwia27XY5cnPAhUClx4KHS_kC3QQFggxMAU&usg=AFQjCNHm19b1K0DZD76WV3KQcMzvQzq2Tg

Good times!

Why would he do such a thing? Your thoughts?

My guess is because he will likely win Ohio; and lose Florida.

Oh, and as to the latter: Any politician running ads in Florida, in the wake of Hurricane Matthew, will surely see it backfire--as it would be seen as a very crass, political move.

And while we are on the subject, Hillary Clinton did precisely that: She canceled campaign advertisements that were scheduled to run on the Florida Weather Channel: http://time.com/4521766/hillary-clinton-hurricane-matthew-pulling-ads/

[AZ Jim]

He'll be a damaged loser on Nov. 9.

[Bethere]

Maybe one of the adds showed him grabbing a woman's cuchi?

Lmao. That was nancy odell he was talking about in that clip btw.

But seriously, take it from bethere: Ohio has 8 ( 9 counting west Virginia for se ohio) distinct media markets. If you aren't up and running on all 9 you aren't competitive.

[Bethere]

As the linked article explains, he's running short on funding and will shift focus from state to national level. Good an explanation as any so far.

Why do you think, bethere?

1. He is having problems sustaining his personal business model. He isn't very liquid.

2. He needs something big/catastrophic to happen or he's toast. The man is riding out the clock and praying to Jobu to intervene.

[Bethere]

My guess is because he will likely win Ohio; and lose Florida.

Oh, and as to the latter: Any politician running ads in Florida, in the wake of Hurricane Matthew, will surely see it backfire--as it would be seen as a very crass, political move.

And while we are on the subject, Hillary Clinton did precisely that: She canceled campaign advertisements that were scheduled to run on the Florida Weather Channel: http://time.com/4521766/hillary-clinton-hurricane-matthew-pulling-ads/

Don't count on ohio.

That last sample was 57% white men w/o college educations.

That isn't even close to what Ohio looks like.

[Bethere]

He'll be a damaged loser on Nov. 9.
He's been a damaged loser for a long time.

[birddog]

Trump cancelled ads in rural areas where already he has established his popularity. He is using the funds to buy ads in those areas he needs improvement.

[del]

when did dayton and toledo become *rural*?

[pjohns]

Don't count on ohio.

It is not the proverbial "lead-pipe cinch" that Donald Trump will win Ohio.

But I think it is likely--just as it is likely, in my opinion, that Hillary Clinton will win Florida. (But I would gladly trade the two.)

RealClearPolitics, in its map that shows no toss-ups, does show Donald Trump winning Ohio: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map_no_toss_ups.h tml

[Bethere]

Trump cancelled ads in rural areas where already he has established his popularity. He is using the funds to buy ads in those areas he needs improvement.

Here's a deal. I won't tell you about life on the ground in southern Illinois, and in turn, you won't tell me about life on the ground in Ohio.

I am a political consultant in Ohio. I have made buys in all 9 markets.

You probably stayed at a Holliday Inn express last night.

[Bethere]

when did dayton and toledo become *rural*?

The Dayton Springfield smsa has over a million people in it.

[ripmeister]

Here's a deal. I won't tell you about life on the ground in southern Illinois, and in turn, you won't tell me about life on the ground in Ohio.

I am a political consultant in Ohio. I have made buys in all 9 markets.

You probably stayed at a Holliday Inn express last night.

LOL! Good last line.

[Bethere]

It is not the proverbial "lead-pipe cinch" that Donald Trump will win Ohio.

But I think it is likely--just as it is likely, in my opinion, that Hillary Clinton will win Florida. (But I would gladly trade the two.)

RealClearPolitics, in its map that shows no toss-ups, does show Donald Trump winning Ohio: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map_no_toss_ups.h tml
Nice post, but.
Unlike virtually everyone else on this forum I despise rcp.

You cannot add polls and average them to get a number that means anything.

The polls were taken at different times and have different universes, different questions, and different methodologies--much worse than apples to oranges.

[Bethere]

LOL! Good last line.

The joke is that I misspelled holiday!

[Beevee]

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=http://www.dispatch.com/content/stories/local/2016/10/07/trump-cancels-ads-in-ohio.html&ved=0ahUKEwia27XY5cnPAhUClx4KHS_kC3QQFggxMAU&usg=AFQjCNHm19b1K0DZD76WV3KQcMzvQzq2Tg

Good times!

Why would he do such a thing? Your thoughts?

See you on 11-08-2016.

He's a winner. I know he is - because he said so. Consequently, he already has those states tied up.

In a paper bag with a soaked out bottom.

[Chris]

1. He is having problems sustaining his personal business model. He isn't very liquid.

2. He needs something big/catastrophic to happen or he's toast. The man is riding out the clock and praying to Jobu to intervene.

Indeed, he's not bought and paid for by corporate America like some other candidate.

[Bethere]

Indeed, he's not bought and paid for by corporate America like some other candidate.
Of course he is! He's an LLC!

[del]

Indeed, he's not bought and paid for by corporate America like some other candidate.

yeah, russia owns a majority stake

americans won't do business with him

[Bethere]

yeah, russia owns a majority stake

americans won't do business with him

This whole bit has been a risk for Donald Trump, llc!

He's all about branding, and Hillary has rebranded the living shit out of him.

This couldn't help but pose enormous consequences for team trump in the years to come.

[TrueBlue]

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=http://www.dispatch.com/content/stories/local/2016/10/07/trump-cancels-ads-in-ohio.html&ved=0ahUKEwia27XY5cnPAhUClx4KHS_kC3QQFggxMAU&usg=AFQjCNHm19b1K0DZD76WV3KQcMzvQzq2Tg

Good times!

Why would he do such a thing? Your thoughts?

See you on 11-08-2016.
Why would he do it? Isn't it obvious? He can clearly see the handwriting on the wall that he is going to lose and lose BIG therefore, being a penny-pincher he doesn't want to spend any more money on a losing battle!

[birddog]

Here's a deal. I won't tell you about life on the ground in southern Illinois, and in turn, you won't tell me about life on the ground in Ohio.

I am a political consultant in Ohio. I have made buys in all 9 markets.

You probably stayed at a Holliday Inn express last night.

Your status does not overly impress me. I hardly ever listen to Rush actually, but he's where I got my information today, and I think he was talking about Florida. Rush is a blowhard at times, but he's obviously way smarter than you.:grin:

[AZ Jim]

Trump cancelled ads in rural areas where already he has established his popularity. He is using the funds to buy ads in those areas he needs improvement.He doesn't have enough money to buy ads in areas he needs improvement in.

[MisterVeritis]

Don't count on ohio.

That last sample was 57% white men w/o college educations.

That isn't even close to what Ohio looks like.
We used to call those blue collar workers until the democrats wrote the white blue collar vote off.

[MisterVeritis]

Why would he do it? Isn't it obvious? He can clearly see the handwriting on the wall that he is going to lose and lose BIG therefore, being a penny-pincher he doesn't want to spend any more money on a losing battle!
LOL. I love your sense of humor.

[MisterVeritis]

He doesn't have enough money to buy ads in areas he needs improvement in.
Crooked Hillary has spent, what, two or three hundred million dollars to Trump's couple of tens of millions? Tonight they are tied.

[Common Sense]

Oh please don't drop out Donald...but I can understand why he would.

That way he wouldn't lose.

[MisterVeritis]

Oh please don't drop out Donald...but I can understand why he would.

That way he wouldn't lose.
I sense you do not yet understand that Trump will win.

[Common Sense]

Crooked Hillary has spent, what, two or three hundred million dollars to Trump's couple of tens of millions? Tonight they are tied.

Clinton is leading in almost every poll. More importantly, the electoral college predictions put Clinton far ahead.

But you "know" Trump will win?

[Safety]

The joke is that I misspelled holiday!

Tighten up.

[Chris]

I sense you do not yet understand that Trump will win.

Like I explained to Bethere other day, the correct grammar is not will but might or could win.

[MisterVeritis]

Clinton is leading in almost every poll. More importantly, the electoral college predictions put Clinton far ahead.

But you "know" Trump will win?
Actually, yes. Be patient.

[MisterVeritis]

Like I explained to Bethere other day, the correct grammar is not will but might or could win.
I prefer will.

Trump will win. Or the nation will end.

[Bethere]

Like I explained to Bethere other day, the correct grammar is not will but might or could win.

"As" I explained...

[Bethere]

Your status does not overly impress me. I hardly ever listen to Rush actually, but he's where I got my information today, and I think he was talking about Florida. Rush is a blowhard at times, but he's obviously way smarter than you.:grin:

I don't care about my status or if you think I'm better than rush or not.

But I know more about ohio politics than you and rush put together.

[pjohns]

Nice post, but.
Unlike virtually everyone else on this forum I despise rcp.

On this, we differ.

It is my impression that RealClearPolitics has no agenda to promote; and this is very important to me.


You cannot add polls and average them to get a number that means anything.

The polls were taken at different times and have different universes, different questions, and different methodologies--much worse than apples to oranges.

Very true.

And what I especially hate is the mixing of polls taken among registered voters with polls taken among likely voters...

[Peter1469]

On this, we differ.

It is my impression that RealClearPolitics has no agenda to promote; and this is very important to me.



Very true.

And what I especially hate is the mixing of polls taken among registered voters with polls taken among likely voters...

The RealClear family of websites is my primary source of normal news. RealClear has politics, health, policy, markets, world, science, technology (now called futures), history, defense, sports, living, religion, books, and maybe more.


(I use Stratfor for foreign relations / geopolitics).

I do see the value of averaging out the polls. It typically gives us a better idea of what is going on- likely it reduces the biases in individuals polls.