pjohns
10-26-2016, 06:57 PM
I saw a poll tonight, on FNC, that shows that Donald Trump is up by 13 points, nationally, among independents; and up by 14 points among whites.
But that same poll shows him down by three points overall.
The former, I suppose, may be explained by the fact that Hillary Clinton is getting a larger percentage of support among Democrats than Donald Trump is with Republicans. (I think the pertinent percentages are 87 percent and 80 percent, respectively.)
Moreover, there are more registered Democrats than registered Republicans.
But I really do not know just how to explain the latter--the fact that Donald Trump is up by 14 points among whites, nationally, but down by three points overall.
Do white people actually form that small a percentage of the electorate?
Thoughts?
But that same poll shows him down by three points overall.
The former, I suppose, may be explained by the fact that Hillary Clinton is getting a larger percentage of support among Democrats than Donald Trump is with Republicans. (I think the pertinent percentages are 87 percent and 80 percent, respectively.)
Moreover, there are more registered Democrats than registered Republicans.
But I really do not know just how to explain the latter--the fact that Donald Trump is up by 14 points among whites, nationally, but down by three points overall.
Do white people actually form that small a percentage of the electorate?
Thoughts?