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pjohns
10-19-2012, 02:28 PM
Currently, the leader in likely electoral votes, is...Mitt Obama. Or Barack Romney.

Take your pick.

Yes, it is just that jumbled. And just that close.

Predictably, perhaps, the left-leaning Huffington Post shows President Obama ahead, by a rather impressive 277 electoral votes to Gov. Romney's 206: Obama vs. Romney Electoral Map (http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map)

But Electoral-Vote.com (whose political leanings--if any--I simply do not know) also has President Obama ahead, by 286 electoral votes to 239 for the former governor, with only the state of Virginia not leaning discernably either way: ElectoralVote (http://www.electoral-vote.com/)

On the other hand, 270 to Win continues to show a slight edge for Romney, 230 electoral votes to 227: 2012 Presidential Election Interactive Map and History of the Electoral College (http://www.270towin.com/)

And RealClearPolitics has the Romney-Ryan team up by a hair, 206 to 201 (but with a great many states still up for grabs): RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Electoral Map (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html)

Perhaps some things may change after next Monday night's debate.

But I do find these differences, well, rather interesting...

Cigar
10-19-2012, 02:30 PM
:grin:

birddog
10-19-2012, 06:05 PM
The big question is whether Romney will win by more than 300 electoral votes, or will he win by less.

Trinnity
10-19-2012, 06:32 PM
270 to win has the edge for Obama, so......huh?

pjohns
10-19-2012, 08:00 PM
270 to win has the edge for Obama, so......huh?

At the moment, 270 to Win has Gov. Romney in the lead, 230 to 227.

Admittedly, that is not a very large lead.

But it is certainly better than trailing is.

Moreover, 270 to Win shows New Hampshire, Nevada, and Michigan as blue states; and all three are very much in play, in my opinion. (In fact, Larry Sabato declared--just yesterday--that New Hampshire is one of four "true tossup" states.)

On the other hand, 270 to Win does show both Wisconsin and Florida as red states; and both remain up for grabs, as I see it. (I think Florida is likely to go Republican--I would give it about a 55 percent chance of doing so--but Wisconsin may be a little tougher.)