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pjohns
10-29-2012, 12:31 PM
Dick Morris has some interesting observations, courtesy of George Gallup, as regarding the likely composition of the 2012 electorate:


In a large sample, very important survey, Gallup reported on Friday that the likely 2012 electorate will be among the most Republican in history.
In 2008, 12 percent more self-described Democrats voted than Republicans (54-42). In 2004, the electorate was 48-48 evenly split between the parties. In Gallup’s poll, they found that in 2012 it will be 46-49 for the Republicans — a fifteen point swing from 2008!
The reason most other polls are wrong is that, seeing this Republican surge, they discount it as sampling error in their polls and re-weight the data to make it conform to the traditional partisan divisions, thus obliterating the real trend and obscuring what is actually going on.
The fact is that the country has moved sharply in the direction of the Republican Party since 2008 and even since 2010.

Here is the link: Dickmorris.com (http://www.dickmorris.com/gallup-explains-why-other-polls-are-wrong/?utm_source=dmreports&utm_medium=dmreports&utm_campaign=dmreports)

Larry Dickman
10-29-2012, 12:35 PM
Re-weighting or incorrectly weighting from the get-go is the only way a lot of the early polls could have as ridiculously left leaning as they were. What kind of brain-dead bed wetter do you have to be to believe that at any point OhBama was beating Romney by 8 plus points in Ohio?

Manufacturing results to dim turnout is what this has been about all along. That's why the assbag Sorosbots are all over the forums spamming bullshit nonstop. Too bad for them, it's all wasted energy.

garyo
10-29-2012, 12:43 PM
And we have one of those assbags on here.

Larry Dickman
10-29-2012, 01:02 PM
And we have one of those assbags on here.

More than one.