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View Full Version : Statistician; Nate Silver has Obama at 299 - 238 Romney, 77.4% chance of winning


Cigar
10-31-2012, 07:53 AM
http://i45.tinypic.com/qy95ya.jpg

POLLING NEWS: Nate Silver update has Obama at 299 - 238 Romney, 77.4% chance of winning
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

+10.7 since Oct. 23 Electoral vote
+9.3 since Oct. 23 Chance of Winning
Obama wins popular vote 74.9%

Obama Chance of winning
OHIO 78% Projected vote share +2.4
NV 83%
IA 74%
CO 61%
NH 75%
VA 62%
WI 88%
Carygrant
10-31-2012, 08:07 AM
This is the guy who rarely gets it wrong -- right down to the winners of snail races . Known as the Magician by the big punters .
Chris
10-31-2012, 08:10 AM
Figures often beguile me, particularly when I have the arranging of them myself; in which case the remark attributed to Disraeli would often apply with justice and force: "There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies and statistics."
- Mark Twain
Cigar
10-31-2012, 08:13 AM
... and Then there's Las Vegas :grin:
truthmatters
10-31-2012, 08:32 AM
but but but the republicans are all saying robmoney will win by 5%
Cigar
10-31-2012, 08:41 AM
but but but the republicans are all saying robmoney will win by 5%

It's going to be an absolute Free-for-All around here next Wednesday.

They are going to absolutely lose their fucking minds.
truthmatters
10-31-2012, 08:56 AM
yes there is going to be alot of nashing of teeth.


I wondering just how many days it will be before they all start talking about how much the hate Robmoney for being a crappy candidate.
Cigar
10-31-2012, 08:58 AM
yes there is going to be alot of nashing of teeth.


I wondering just how many days it will be before they all start talking about how much the hate Robmoney for being a crappy candidate.

2 days tops ... because they knew this long time ago. :grin:
truthmatters
10-31-2012, 09:02 AM
Oh they hated him befor they loved him.


They let every clown drive the clown car before it crashed too many times to repair it.

Then they accepted the corporate owners choice lock stock and barrel.

They didnt even flinch when he shook the ectch a scetch so hard it shattered the tea party talking points.

they love Obamas platform when it comes out of robmoineys mouth.

funny that