Pew: Romney is up in early voting.

[wazi99]

Romney’s team is getting some confirmation from early voting reports, which suggest we are a far distance from 2008. Pew reports (http://www.people-press.org/2012/10/31/in-deadlocked-race-neither-side-has-ground-game-advantage/): “The Pew Research Center survey found that the race is even among all likely voters nationwide (47% Obama, 47% Romney). Unlike the last campaign, the race also is close among voters who say they have already voted. In the poll, conducted Oct. 24-28, 19% of likely voters say they have already voted; that is unchanged from the same week in the 2008 campaign (Oct. 23-26, 2008). Currently, Romney holds a seven-point edge among early voters (50% to 43%); because of the small sample, this lead is not statistically significant. At this point four years ago, Obama led John McCain by 19 points (53% to 34%) among early voters.”


Gallup (http://www.gallup.com/poll/158420/registered-voters-already-cast-ballots.aspx) finds Romney up among early voters by a similar margin (52 to 46 percent). In 2008 Obama had an advantage of 55 to 40 percent.



Read more here: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/right-turn/post/early-voting-buoys-romney/2012/11/01/1848c188-242f-11e2-9313-3c7f59038d93_blog.html

Obama is happy about polls that use +7 or +11 democrat samplings. Dose anyone honestly think 7% more democrats will turn out than republicans? Look at Gallup voter party identification survey that came out this week showing Republicans with a lead. http://www.gallup.com/poll/158399/2012-electorate-looks-like-2008.aspx (Scroll past the miss leading headline and read the action numbers.)