Persistent political infighting is risking Iraq’s hard-won gains

Iraq's new government can't seem to gets its act together. This does not bode well for Iraq's future.

Nine months after holding elections and three months after government formation, Iraq remains without ministers of defence, interior, education and justice. Vacancies in the ministries responsible for security and justice raise concerns about the stability of a country that has emerged from a bitter battle against ISIS and internal armed conflict. The absence of a strong minister of education is an indicator of how much the educational sector in Iraq has regressed. The vacuum at these four ministries casts a shadow over Iraqi Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi’s efforts to lead. Even more importantly, keeping the ministries of defence and interior without clear leadership weakens any efforts to limit the role and influence of militias and armed groups.

The lack of appointments is due to political infighting and deal-making at the cost of having the best candidate for the job. At the heart of the disagreement is the insistence of the Al Binaa bloc, led by former prime minister Nouri Al Maliki, on the appointment of Falih Al Fayyadh to the position of Minister of Interior. This is the same Falih Al Fayyadh who was the official head of the Popular Mobilisation Forces, or Hashd Al Shaabi, in the previous government. Mr Al Fayyadh’s appointment would mean a further step in solidifying the presence and influence of militias, mainly backed by Iran, in Iraq’s security apparatus.


While Al Binaa is insisting on Mr Al Fayyadh, the names floated for minister of defence have largely been ill-equipped to lead the ministry. Under the disastrous sectarian carving up of positions within Iraq, the ministry is meant to be led by a Sunni, yet the politicians being suggested have no political backing, let alone military standing. This is not for the lack of competent candidates. Figures such as Khalid Al Obeidi, who got more than 80,000 votes in the last elections, making him the second most popular figure, and the leader of the elite Golden Brigade, Abdel Wahab Al Saadi, who was instrumental in defeating ISIS and is hugely popular, are not even in the running. Competence and popularity in the security sector often work against candidates in Iraqi politics, as they can undercut armed groups in the shadow security apparatus.



The lack of agreement on the most suitable candidates for the ministries mentioned stems from the dysfunctional political system: infighting in elections is brought into loose coalition governments. This remains the Achilles heel of Iraqi politics – cabinets are formed by competing parties who do not have a sure political platform or strategic vision for the country. Members of the same government have a vested interest in undermining it. Without serious reform of the political system and a strict system of checks and balances, this vicious circle will continue.


One further destabilising issue that has yet to be resolved is that of the future of the Kurdistan region and its armed forces, the Peshmerga. On Sunday, British Defence Senior Adviser Lt Gen Sir John Lorimer was in the Kurdistan region attending a military parade for the Kurdish armed forces, with a renewed pledge from the UK to keep supporting them. However, co-ordination between the Peshmerga and Iraqi forces has lagged behind and could be a source of confrontation without continued political efforts.


Yet, not all is bad. Security has improved in Baghdad and many of Iraq’s cities. According to the UN, 32 Iraqi civilians died as a result of conflict or terrorism in December 2018. That used to be a daily figure not too long ago. Major suicide bombings that would kill up to 200 people a day at the height of Iraq’s sectarian war are thankfully a much rarer occurrence. However, it is a thin veneer of stability. Organised crime, targeted killings and death threats continue to plague the country. Just last week, a well-regarded journalist for Al Hurra Iraq, Samer Ali Hussein, was killed after repeated death threats. This followed the killing of Emad Jabar, owner of the popular Laymounah restaurant, which has also been blamed on militias with a parliamentary presence.
You can lead a horse to water, but you can't make him drink.

Read the rest of the article at the link.