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Thread: Truth Decay

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    Chris's Avatar Senior Member
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    Truth Decay

    Truth Decay hold this true for civilizations but I think it's only so for the West where, paraphrasing Kurt Doolittle of the Popertarian Institute, we uniquely have built a commons of truth or at least truth seeking. Thus, I see the piece as describing the decay of the West.

    The piece below also focuses on the media, both journalism and the more recent rise of social media, but it's more prevalent than that. AOC's "If people want to really blow up one figure here or one word there, I would argue that they’re missing the forest for the trees. There's a lot of people more concerned about being precisely, factually, and semantically correct than about being morally right," comes to mind. As well as a lot of forum discussion where opinion is presumed factual if not grounded in logic.

    What is the greatest threat facing human civilization? This question is obviously meant to be provocative, and is probably inherently unanswerable. But I think there is a reasonable argument to be made that perhaps the greatest threat is the deterioration of fact-based political and social discussion. The argument is that this is a meta-problem that keeps us from effectively addressing all other problems.

    There are, of course, potential threats that could override everything else, such as an asteroid barreling down on the Earth or a super pandemic that could wipe out humanity. Most problems we face or are likely to face, however, can be potentially effectively managed, or at least mitigated, if we optimally marshal our resources and planning. The real problem we are facing is that we appear to be increasingly unable to do so.

    Some observers identify a large part of the problem as “Truth Decay.” The RAND corporation (a think tank of scientists and researchers), which has been researching the issue, defines Truth Decay as:

    1- increasing disagreement about facts and analytical interpretations of facts and data

    2- a blurring of the line between opinion and fact

    3- the increasing relative volume and resulting influence of opinion and personal experience over fact

    4- declining trust in formerly respected sources of facts....
    Tradition is not the worship of ashes, but the preservation of fire. ― Gustav Mahler

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