For First Time, Warren AVERAGING in First

[IMPress Polly]

I've been reluctant to believe that anyone but Joe Biden can win this nominating contest, but you know what, I'm actually starting to have second thoughts about that. I mean normally a good debate performance is good for two weeks of uptick in the polls, but this current boost for Warren has been sustained for nearly a month straight now. Events ranging from the last debate to the endorsement of the Working Families Party to frankly the new publicity surround the Ukraine scandal seem to be conspiring to make her a more viable candidate. Her RCP polling average nationwide is now ahead of Biden's for the first time, and the latest poll on that list, one by Quinnipiac University, is Warren's best one to date:

Warren: 29%
Biden: 26%
Sanders: 16%
Others: Low single-digits

A couple of the more striking indications of this particular poll are that Biden has lost the support of both working class voters (now in third place in this category) and moderate voters, that Warren has fully doubled her support among black voters in the last month (Biden is now down to 36% of black voters compared to a majority back in the summer), leads among voters aged 35 to 64, polls marginally better than Sanders against Trump now, and that almost two-thirds of remaining Sanders supporters, in this poll anyway, are male. Also, contrary to Uran's argument that one could only support Warren over Sanders out of ignorance, Warren is the leading candidate of voters who say they are paying "a lot of attention" to the race, while two out of three Sanders supporters say they're only paying "some attention". Another striking finding of this survey: fully a majority of working class voters plan to vote for a progressive candidate (26% Sanders, 25% Warren, which adds up to 51% of the total). It's the only class grouping of Americans for which that is true.

[carolina73]

The loss of black voters to Biden is critical.
Black voters (as a group) vote as they are told to vote due to leadership and social pressures.
That would certainly indicate that black leadership is leaving Biden.

Biden is depending on SC to be his backstop, where the Democrat Party is a majority of black voters. Biden has essentially given up on Iowa and NH.

In SC 27% of the state is black. Only 31% of registered voters are Democrats. Over 90% of black voters say they are Democrats. There is back door manner of finding the race of Democrat voters. but you can certainly reach an easy conclusion that the black voters own the Democrat primary.

I did not like the phrasing of my first lines, but SC is the state where Al Greene won the Democrat primary for the US Senate seat by a large margin. Al Greene was on awaiting trial for rape and never actually campaigned or made an appearance. He was mearly black and was confused with the singer of the same name.

[Chris]

And we see The Emerging Anybody-But-Warren Campaign.

[Mister D]

Please nominate this woman.

[carolina73]

You saw that with Trump as well from the Democrats and the Neocons. Current politics is the world is going to end if you vote for the other person.

Remember the calls of the market is going to crash, we will fall into a Depression, we will be dragged into a world War III... and none of that happened. The opposite did.

[Rationalist]

There seem to be rumors that Hillary might enter the fray again if Biden drops out. That would make for an interesting sequence of primaries and pretty interesting debates as well.

[carolina73]

I think that n one likes HIllary. She was just the name recognition candidate. Let's face it. She never did anything but get fired except when she was the wife of Bill. She failed as Secr of State. They say "But she travelled alot" LOL
Iran is the result of HIllary, Kerry, Obama and Biden.
Turkey moving to the Russian spher of indluence is the result of HIllary, Kerry, Obama and Biden.
China is the result of HIllary, Kerry, Obama and Biden.
Libya was the result of HIllary, Kerry, Obama and Biden.
Benghazi the result of HIllary, Kerry, Obama and Biden.
Syria the result of HIllary, Kerry, Obama and Biden.
Venezuela is the result of HIllary, Kerry, Obama and Biden.

Just what did she do right?

Was doing right having other countries like you because they ran all over the USA?

[Peter1469]

3 years ago today was the Hillary Trump debate where Hillary said it would be bad if Trump was in charge of law enforcement in the US. Trump said, it would be bad for you- you would be in jail.

[Dr. Who]

There seem to be rumors that Hillary might enter the fray again if Biden drops out. That would make for an interesting sequence of primaries and pretty interesting debates as well.

Good grief. I hope not. She's political poison.

[Captdon]

Joe Biden has no chance in the first place. 2016 was his time and he blew it.

Then it really was Clinton's time and she thought the middle America was full of deplorables. She thought she didn't have to actually run. She blew her chance.

Now, she is "offering to save the country" by running again.