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Thread: Gallop virus handling approval ratings

  1. #51
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    Tahuyaman's Avatar Senior Member
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    It’s like debating with a child

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    Quote Originally Posted by RichardMZhlubb View Post
    His poll numbers didn’t go up, so I don’t know where you think that strengthening came from. Considering that more people supported impeachment than opposed it (even after the Senate vote) and that it exposed a lot of Trump’s petty corruption to a broader audience, I don’t think that there’s any basis for arguing that it benefitted him.


    Trump's winning again! His poll numbers RISE on ...

    https://www.independentsentinel.com/trumps-winning...
    Jan 25, 2020 · President Trump’s approval ratings are rising on impeachment and his economy. They are the highest of his presidency. “President Trump’s approval rating has climbed to match the highest of his presidency, boosted by majority approval of his economic stewardship even as Americans remain deeply divided on whether the Senate should remove him from office, according […]



    Donald Trump's Approval Rating Continues to Rise in Post ...

    https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trumps-approval...
    Politics Donald Trump President Senate Impeachment In the first poll since Donald Trump's Senate acquittal earlier this week, the president's approval rating has continued to rise after it hit the...



    Poll: President Trumps Approval Ratings INCREASE Amid ...

    https://gellerreport.com/2019/11/trump-trump-impeachment-ratings-rise.html
    A new poll indicates President Trump’s approval rating has increased 4% since the public impeachment hearings began on Wednesday. By Right Side, November 15, 2019: The Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Tracking Poll is showing an impeachment bump in approval ratings for President Trump.



    As Impeachment Bombs, Trump’s Poll Numbers Rise | Rush ...

    https://news.iheart.com/featured/rush-limbaugh/...
    Nov 21, 2019 · It's yet another poll where Trump has increased his level of support in the midst of impeachment hearings or inquiry, whatever. "Wisconsin voters oppose impeachment and removal by 53 to 40%." Not only is Trump up three to eight points over pick your Democrat, Wisconsin voters oppose impeachment 53 to 40. That is a 13% margin. Marquette Law poll.


    As usual you are wrong. Not only does your own Lame Stream Media validate it, they also validate your trouble with reality.
    History does not long Entrust the care of Freedom, to the Weak or Timid!!!!! Dwight D. Eisenhower ~

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    The Hill has a March poll with Trump's approval at 50%. Something like 87% with Repbus, 18% with Dems, and 50% with independents.

    Quote Originally Posted by MMC View Post


    Trump's winning again! His poll numbers RISE on ...

    https://www.independentsentinel.com/trumps-winning...
    Jan 25, 2020 · President Trump’s approval ratings are rising on impeachment and his economy. They are the highest of his presidency. “President Trump’s approval rating has climbed to match the highest of his presidency, boosted by majority approval of his economic stewardship even as Americans remain deeply divided on whether the Senate should remove him from office, according […]



    Donald Trump's Approval Rating Continues to Rise in Post ...

    https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trumps-approval...
    Politics Donald Trump President Senate Impeachment In the first poll since Donald Trump's Senate acquittal earlier this week, the president's approval rating has continued to rise after it hit the...



    Poll: President Trumps Approval Ratings INCREASE Amid ...

    https://gellerreport.com/2019/11/trump-trump-impeachment-ratings-rise.html
    A new poll indicates President Trump’s approval rating has increased 4% since the public impeachment hearings began on Wednesday. By Right Side, November 15, 2019: The Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Tracking Poll is showing an impeachment bump in approval ratings for President Trump.



    As Impeachment Bombs, Trump’s Poll Numbers Rise | Rush ...

    https://news.iheart.com/featured/rush-limbaugh/...
    Nov 21, 2019 · It's yet another poll where Trump has increased his level of support in the midst of impeachment hearings or inquiry, whatever. "Wisconsin voters oppose impeachment and removal by 53 to 40%." Not only is Trump up three to eight points over pick your Democrat, Wisconsin voters oppose impeachment 53 to 40. That is a 13% margin. Marquette Law poll.


    As usual you are wrong. Not only does your own Lame Stream Media validate it, they also validate your trouble with reality.
    ΜOΛΩΝ ΛΑΒΕ


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  7. #54
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    RichardMZhlubb's Avatar Senior Member
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    Aggregate polling is always going to be far more accurate than cherry-picked individual polls. The fact is that Trump saw a tiny (1 or 2 point) increase during impeachment that almost immediately disappeared and his numbers have improved by only 3 points with the current crisis (and have started to go back down this week). Even with his current three-point “spike” Trump is still the only president in history (since they began polling) to have never topped 50% in aggregate approval polling.

    0EE7E8DD-419C-4051-8B65-A40BB32082FF.jpg

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...ex_cid=rrpromo

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    Quote Originally Posted by RichardMZhlubb View Post
    Lol. On the day the formal impeachment inquiry was launched, his aggregate net approval was 42.9. On the day he was impeached, it was 43.8. On the day the Senate voted not to remove him from office, it was at 43.5. On March 14, it was at 42.3 (so lower than before impeachment began). Today, it’s at 45.3. His approval is up a whopping 3 points. That’s nothing compared with virtually every other increase for prior presidents during a national crisis.

    All of these numbers are from the fivethirtyeight.com aggregate polling chart.
    538 is biased for the Dems. TCP ha better polling. It doesn't matter. Trump is going to be re-elected. He's all there and Joe doesn't know where he is.
    Liberals are a clear and present danger to our nation
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    Quote Originally Posted by Captdon View Post
    538 is biased for the Dems. TCP ha better polling. It doesn't matter. Trump is going to be re-elected. He's all there and Joe doesn't know where he is.
    There is zero evidence that fivethirtyeight.com’s polling data is biased. None.

    And, if Trump is re-elected after this disaster, then there is no hope for this country. I recognize that an alarming number of voters are poorly informed and don’t understand fully how incredibly terrible Trump has been as president, but the only hope for the survival of this country is that they get their heads out of their asses and vote to get rid of the disaster in the White House.
    Last edited by RichardMZhlubb; 04-01-2020 at 07:17 AM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by RichardMZhlubb View Post
    There is zero evidence that fivethirtyeight.com’s polling data is biased. None.

    And, if Trump is re-elected after this disaster, then there is no hope for this country. I recognize that an alarming number of voters are poorly informed and don’t understand fully how incredibly terrible Trump has been as president, but the only hope for the survival of this country is that they get their heads out of their asses and vote to get rid of the disaster in the White House.
    Actually there will be no hope, at least for the next 4 years, for the Statists and the globalists. Americans will be just fine.
    ΜOΛΩΝ ΛΑΒΕ


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    Quote Originally Posted by RichardMZhlubb View Post
    There is zero evidence that fivethirtyeight.com’s polling data is biased. None.

    And, if Trump is re-elected after this disaster, then there is no hope for this country. I recognize that an alarming number of voters are poorly informed and don’t understand fully how incredibly terrible Trump has been as president, but the only hope for the survival of this country is that they get their heads out of their asses and vote to get rid of the disaster in the White House.
    LOL

    Of course there is.

    Since beginning to adjust or unskew polls for house effect during the 2014 United States Senate elections, Nate Silver and FiveThirtyEight (538) have a measurable 3.5% bias toward Democrats.
    https://www.counterpunch.org/2018/10...18-house-race/
    ""A government which robs Peter to pay Paul can always depend on the support of Paul" ~George Bernard Shaw

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    Quote Originally Posted by Peter1469 View Post
    Actually there will be no hope, at least for the next 4 years, for the Statists and the globalists. Americans will be just fine.
    Nope. If, after the disaster of the Trump presidency, voters re-elect him, we can no longer trust the voters to do what's best for the country. I don't know what the answer is, but the current system will be irreparably broken.

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    Quote Originally Posted by FindersKeepers View Post
    No, what that means is that, on average, pollsters have a demonstrated 3.5% bias toward Republicans. 538 adjusts the polling results based on historical differences between prior polling and actual results. (And understand that, in statistical terms, bias does not mean some sort of intentional act. It simply means that the data tends to deviate from actual by that percentage.)

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