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Thread: Trump has 91% chance of winning second term, professor’s model predicts.....

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    Quote Originally Posted by zelmo1234 View Post
    I think that this will be a close election. Like before I think that the Democrats are reading the room wrong especially in the mid west.

    Trump Policies were good for MI at least, But he is hated by the political elite on both sides. They don't want someone that is results oriented it makes them look terrible.

    But if he looses, I will not have time to $#@! too much. With Biden Promising to reverse the Trump Tax Cuts I will be looking to cut costs where ever I can. And it will be very likely that many of my employee's will get caught in the Liberal trap.

    I don't look forward to that. These are real people and real lives that will be effected by someone that wants the people to think he is compassionate.
    I think the left will win the popular vote and Trump will win the electoral. Which then we shall see more whining from the left about getting rid of the Electoral college.

    Of course we will get to watch them hit full tilt. Start rioting, looting, and up their level of resistance.
    History does not long Entrust the care of Freedom, to the Weak or Timid!!!!! Dwight D. Eisenhower ~

  2. #102
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    Pence dismisses Biden poll lead as 2016 all over again


    Yep.....the Lame Stream media has learned nothing form their last humiliation.
    History does not long Entrust the care of Freedom, to the Weak or Timid!!!!! Dwight D. Eisenhower ~

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    I'll tell this professor that it's July. The election is in November. So much still to be seen, heard, noted, so many conclusions to make. Debates(maybe), more no reason for it whatsoever violence, more cultural rot and destruction. How can people build these models......I remember that pollster Cat on tv election night 2016. What's that Cat's name......his poll organization is just a number like 505 or something, it's the model the media was harping all over. He gets on tv....it's clear as day he's been wringing his hands through his hair, it's standing on end during the interview.….where he admits that Hillary is in "profound trouble" if you're looking at the map of the electoral college. And of course....that's the only map that carries any relevance.

    He knew his model of a 75% chance Hillary would win just got toasted on national television. I'll find this Dude's name, post it up here. This professor might end up looking the same, how do you get any % in July for a November election especially given so many outside influences on a country with so many sheep.

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    My apologies. Nate Silver's 538.

    Go watch this Cat election night 2016. Easy to find. The media clowns were following it all night, the NYTimes also used their own 'election meter' keeping a % chance Trump would win or lose. It started off at 75% even 90% at 7:00. And about 9:39pm the first shiver of what would become a cold rod of reality crept down the Left's spine. At 10:39pm sheer panic began to take hold. At 11:39pm reality sent an electric shock into their nervous systems. At 12:39am reason and common sense exited stage left. At 1:30am Hillary proved she wasn't woman enough to admit defeat in front of her broken minions. At 2:30am a new dawn broke. At 3:30am Bo-4's piñata still remained.....no one able to stick it open and spill the candy. At 4:30am the Javatz Center glass ceiling still remained. At 5:30 I just decided to go to work, I hadn't slept all night. At 6:30am I watched Joe and Mika admit the media had fcked up. Badly. At 7:30am....the first tpf appearance where I witnessed the initial spasms of TDS that we've all seen here since. Was how it went down.
    Last edited by Ransom; 07-11-2020 at 08:44 AM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by MMC View Post
    Pence dismisses Biden poll lead as 2016 all over again


    Yep.....the Lame Stream media has learned nothing form their last humiliation.
    This isn't anything like 2016. Biden's current polling lead is much, much bigger than Hilary's lead ever reached this far into the race. His lead is also far bigger than either of the last two challengers to beat an incumbent (Clinton in 1992 and Reagan in 1980). It would take a comeback of historic proportions for Trump to win, and there simply are not enough persuadable voters out there for him to pull it off.

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    Quote Originally Posted by RichardMZhlubb View Post
    This isn't anything like 2016. Biden's current polling lead is much, much bigger than Hilary's lead ever reached this far into the race. His lead is also far bigger than either of the last two challengers to beat an incumbent (Clinton in 1992 and Reagan in 1980). It would take a comeback of historic proportions for Trump to win, and there simply are not enough persuadable voters out there for him to pull it off.
    I'm sure it looks like that from inside DC.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Ransom View Post
    I'm sure it looks like that from inside DC.
    Well, no. It looks like that to anyone who understands what's going on in the country. Trump retains a core 40% of voters who will stick with him no matter what, and I'm sure that within that bubble, people think that he's popular. But almost everyone else is against him and fervently wants him gone. He's the most despised president since they started presidential polling.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Ransom View Post
    My apologies. Nate Silver's 538.

    Go watch this Cat election night 2016. Easy to find. The media clowns were following it all night, the NYTimes also used their own 'election meter' keeping a % chance Trump would win or lose. It started off at 75% even 90% at 7:00. And about 9:39pm the first shiver of what would become a cold rod of reality crept down the Left's spine. At 10:39pm sheer panic began to take hold. At 11:39pm reality sent an electric shock into their nervous systems. At 12:39am reason and common sense exited stage left. At 1:30am Hillary proved she wasn't woman enough to admit defeat in front of her broken minions. At 2:30am a new dawn broke. At 3:30am Bo-4's piñata still remained.....no one able to stick it open and spill the candy. At 4:30am the Javatz Center glass ceiling still remained. At 5:30 I just decided to go to work, I hadn't slept all night. At 6:30am I watched Joe and Mika admit the media had fcked up. Badly. At 7:30am....the first tpf appearance where I witnessed the initial spasms of TDS that we've all seen here since. Was how it went down.
    Some CNN reporter said Hillary was too drunk to speak to her supporters after it was clear she forgot about the electoral college.
    ΜOΛΩΝ ΛΑΒΕ


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    Setting himself for a mental breakdown late election night.

    Quote Originally Posted by RichardMZhlubb View Post
    Well, no. It looks like that to anyone who understands what's going on in the country. Trump retains a core 40% of voters who will stick with him no matter what, and I'm sure that within that bubble, people think that he's popular. But almost everyone else is against him and fervently wants him gone. He's the most despised president since they started presidential polling.
    ΜOΛΩΝ ΛΑΒΕ


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    Quote Originally Posted by John Galt View Post
    The shine is off the new toy. Those who 'took a chance' on trump now regret it. People who voted for Obama, and hated Hillary, voted for trump. Now he has a track record, and it isn't pretty. He made promises to the unions. Some took a chance. None will again. He made promises to the coal industry. They're too stupid to vote against trump, but they might just not vote.

    He lost suburban women. He lost almost all women. Hell...he had to make sure Melania voted for him last time

    Attachment 30222
    There was no one there to select the answers for him so it looks like he was trying to copy off her answer........... Gosh - how stupid would someone have to be to support this dolt.

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