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  1. #31
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    This should bring gas prices down in the near term...

    Exclusive: As Iran's oil exports surge, international tankers help ship its fuel
    Mon Jun 6, 2016 - More than 25 European and Asian-owned supertankers are shipping Iranian oil, data seen by Reuters shows, allowing Tehran to ramp up exports much faster than analysts had expected following the lifting of sanctions in January.
    Iran was struggling as recently as April to find partners to ship its oil, but after an agreement on a temporary insurance fix more than a third of Iran's crude shipments are now being handled by foreign vessels. "Charterers are buying cargo from Iran and the rest of the world is OK with that," said Odysseus Valatsas, chartering manager at Dynacom Tankers Management. Greek owner Dynacom has fixed three of its supertankers to carry Iranian crude. Some international shipowners remain reluctant to handle Iranian oil, however, due mainly to some U.S. restrictions on Tehran that remain and prohibit any trade in dollars or the involvement of U.S. firms, including banks and reinsurers. Iran is seeking to make up for lost trade following the lifting of sanctions imposed in 2011 and 2012 over its nuclear program.

    Port loading data seen by Reuters, as well as live shipping data, shows at least 26 foreign tankers with capacity to carry more than 25 million barrels of light and heavy crude oil, as well as fuel oil, have either loaded crude or fuel oil in the last two weeks or are about load at Iran's Kharg Island and Bandar Mahshahr terminals. The resumption of international shipping of Iranian oil has been made possible by an increase in interim, limited, insurance cover by "P&I clubs" - maritime mutual associations that provide "protection and indemnity" insurance to shippers. The International Group of P&I Clubs, which represents the world's top 13 ship insurers, increased the amount covered by so-called "fall-back" shipping insurance from 70 million to 100 million euros ($113.36 million) in April. "In the first days after lifting sanctions only Iranian ships were loaded in the country, mainly due to several problems in finding insurance/reinsurance," said Luigi Bruzzone of ship broker Banchero Costa. "The strong interest of the market in these trades pushed all the stakeholders to solve all the problems ... and almost all P&I Clubs have granted their insurance."

    INSURANCE RISK?

    The "fall-back" cover is designed to offset any shortfall in payments from U.S. reinsurers, who are still not allowed to deal with Iran. "We are not surprised to see the increase in Iranian cargoes given the progress made by the P&I clubs and obviously the increase in Iranian production," said Brian Gallagher, head of investor relations at leading Belgian tanker owner Euronav, which itself is not involved in Iran yet. "We're interested in such trade ... (but) it will still take time for Iran to be fully integrated as there remain restrictions around dollar denominated transactions." Indeed, while the partial lifting of sanctions means foreign tankers can now transport Iranian oil, risks remain because large accidents might not be fully covered.

    As a result, insurers say many first-tier oil shippers, many of them publicly listed such as Euronav, Teekay Group or Frontline, still shy away from carrying Iranian oil. If the fall-back cover is exhausted in an incident, Andrew Bardot, executive officer at the International Group of P&I Clubs, said that costs like "collision and cargo liabilities, will not be covered, and will remain with the shipowner". A single Very Large Crude Carrier (VLCC) supertanker costs around $90 million, and the costs of a large oil spill can reach into the billions of dollars. "The limitations of the 'fall-back' cover - together with other continuing restrictions, for example those relating to the U.S. dollar and use of the U.S. financial system - however have discouraged a number of shipowners, and in particular the large shipping groups, from resuming trade with Iran in which they were previously engaged," said Bardot.

    NEAR PRE-SANCTIONS LEVELS

  2. #32
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    Red face

    The downside of low oil prices...

    Oil price plunge 'to cost 120,000 jobs'
    Jun 10, 2016 - The UK's oil and gas industry is on course to lose more than 120,000 jobs in two years following the plunge in the price of oil, according to research
    Jobs supported by the sector will have dropped by more than a quarter at the end of this year, compared to its peak of 450,000 in 2014, industry trade body Oil and Gas UK has found. Its latest figures show employment was slashed by about 84,000 to around 370,000 last year, with a further 40,000 jobs set to be cut in 2016. The total number of jobs supported by the sector is expected to stand at 330,000 at the close of this year. The gloomy update comes as North Sea operators and supply chain companies continue to make swingeing cuts in an effort to drive down costs since the price of oil plummeted from its peak of around 115 US dollars in 2015. Brent crude currently sits at around 51 US dollars a barrel.

    Deirdre Michie, chief executive of Oil & Gas UK, said: "The industry has been spending more than it is earning since the oil price slump towards the end of 2014. "This is not sustainable and companies have been faced with some very difficult decisions. "To survive, the industry has had no choice but to improve its performance. It is looking to find efficiencies to restore competitiveness, to attract investment and stimulate activity in the North Sea. With up to 20 billion barrels of oil and gas still to recover, this region is still very much open for business." The research - carried out by Experian - comes as the number of exploration and appraisal wells set to be drilled this year is expected to be less than half that of 2015, according to Oil and Gas UK.

    It added that more than 20% of the oil fields on the UK Continental Shelf are currently operating at a higher unit cost than the current oil price. A separate study by the Bank of Scotland revealed on Monday that a third of the UK's oil and gas firms are planning further job cuts this year as a result of the price slump. The bank's latest report on the industry found 43% of companies are planning further cost-cutting measures, while 32% of businesses are planning to cut jobs.

    Ms Michie added: "330,000 jobs is still a significant number, but the total employment we will sustainably provide depends on the level of investment attracted into the basin. "If investment falls, then so will jobs. The interventions we make now will be critical to shape the industry's direction and help stem future losses." Scottish Labour Economy spokesperson Jackie Baillie said: "These are stark figures which underline the scale of the oil jobs crisis. "We need both short and long term responses to this crisis. Labour has called for a public agency to protect strategic investments. "In the short term we need to support workers. The SNP's flagship training fund has not delivered anywhere near enough support. "The SNP ignored the oil jobs crisis for months because it was politically embarrassing for them. We need to see much more regular reporting of the impact of the changing oil price on jobs and the economy. "

    MORE

  3. #33
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    Quote Originally Posted by waltky View Post
    The downside of low oil prices...

    Oil price plunge 'to cost 120,000 jobs'
    Jun 10, 2016 - The UK's oil and gas industry is on course to lose more than 120,000 jobs in two years following the plunge in the price of oil, according to research
    Thats too bad.

    we have the same problem in America.

    but since government is losing money too when are going to lay off a million federal workers?

  4. #34
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    Cool

    Now we got OPEC cuttin' oil prices against each other...

    Saudi Arabia Cuts Asian Oil Prices to Counter Rivals Russia, Iraq and Iran
    Aug. 5, 2016 - Iraq’s oil exports to India leapfrogged Saudi Arabia’s in second quarter
    Under pressure from Russian, Iraqi and Iranian oil exports, Saudi Arabia discounted its crude last weekend to maintain its share of big Asian markets. The price cut, which applies to September purchases, comes after two years of high-volume pumping by Saudi Arabia, the world’s largest oil producer. The kingdom had chosen to feed an oil glut and see prices drop rather than sacrifice sales to international rivals. But in Asia—the main source of oil-demand growth recently—Saudi Arabia has continued to lose ground. Last Sunday, it dropped its prices for Asian customers by between 70 cents and $1.30 a barrel (depending on the grade of oil), helping drive the global crude price below $42 a barrel. That was the deepest price cut since October last year. “The cuts were done to make sure Saudi Arabia remains competitive against sellers from the Middle East and Europe,” says a person familiar with the Saudi price-cut discussions.

    Iraq’s Indian market share leapfrogged Saudi Arabia’s in this year’s second quarter. Iraq sold 11 million metric tons of oil to India in the quarter, a million more than Saudi Arabia, according to India’s oil ministry. That marks a reversal from last year, when Saudi Arabia’s India exports surpassed Iraq’s by 900,000 tons on a quarterly average. The shift reflects a boost in Iraqi production from new projects coming online. Iraq’s output in June was up 200,000 barrels a day from a year earlier, to 4.21 million barrels a day. In China, Saudi Arabian oil is losing ground to Russian exports that are feeding China’s burgeoning independent refineries. According to Chinese customs data, Russian crude exports to China increased by 9% to 4 million metric tons in June from a year earlier, inching closer to Saudi Arabia, whose sales fell by 14% to 4.6 million tons. Like Iraq, Russia has been ramping up output, with production of crude and condensates—liquid natural gas similar to light oil—in the second quarter rising by about 150,000 barrels a day from a year earlier to 11.03 million barrels a day, according to the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries.

    Saudi Arabia also is facing increased pressure from political rival Iran. Since Western sanctions were lifted in January, Iranian output has jumped by about 600,000 barrels a day to 3.64 million barrels a day in June. “Part of the weakness in Saudi Arabia is caused by crude headed to Asia from Iran,” said Jamie Webster, an adjunct research scholar at Columbia University’s Center on Global Energy Policy.

    According to Vienna-based energy consultancy JBC, Iran’s combined exports to China, Japan, South Korea and India averaged 1.4 million barrels a day in the first half of 2016, up 29% year on year. That jumped to 1.7 million barrels a day in June. Iran’s shipments to India rose to 5 million metric tons in the three months to June, compared with a quarterly average of 3.2 million tons last year, according to India’s oil ministry. The Saudi price cut wasn’t entirely motivated by competition—it was also aimed at stimulating demand in China’s weakening market, said the person familiar with the government’s price-cut discussions. OPEC expects Chinese oil consumption to rise by 280,000 barrels a day this year, down from 350,000 barrels a day in 2015.

    http://www.wsj.com/articles/saudi-ar...ran-1470416304

  5. #35
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    Cool

    Possible oil surplus to keep prices stable for now...

    Goldman Sachs maintains fragile outlook on global oil prices on possibility of surplus output
    Tuesday 23rd August, 2016 - Investment banking major Goldman Sachs has said global oil price recovery continues to be fragile, as a pick-up in disrupted production in countries like Nigeria, Iraq and Libya in the latter part of the year may result in surplus output.
    With the existing instability in these countries, "even a conservative assumption that only 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) of disruptions will come back online, leaves risks skewed toward higher output,” Goldman said. "As a result, we reiterate our view that the oil price and fundamental recovery remains fragile," it said in a note. Goldman Sachs maintained its $45-$50 a barrel forecast through next summer, and said it continues to view oil as having weak near-term fundamentals. The bank said, “A sustainable pick-up in disrupted production would lead us to lower our oil price forecast with WTI (West Texas Intermediate) prices to average $45 per barrel.”


    The note said talks of an output freeze by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and a weak dollar have aided the sharp upward reversal in oil prices in August, but neither of the factors have the potential to sustain prices at current levels. Oil prices jumped over 20 percent to enter a bull market on Thursday. “Thawing relationships between parties in conflict in areas of disrupted production would be more relevant to the oil rebalancing than an OPEC freeze, which would leave production at record highs,” Goldman Sachs said.

    The bank said a production freeze would also likely prove "self-defeating" if it succeeded in supporting oil prices further, with the U.S. oil rig count up 28 percent since May. Saudi Arabia and Iran appear unlikely to unilaterally accept a freeze, the Goldman Sachs note said, adding supply will remain the driver for oil prices in coming weeks, with little evidence that demand growth is weakening. Experts say OPEC and a few other producers from outside the group could agree to freeze production during informal talks in September.

    http://www.bignewsnetwork.com/news/2...surplus-output

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    Thumbs up

    Gas up while ya can - sounds like we'll soon be back to bein' held hostage by OPEC...

    Iran says will cooperate with OPEC to stabilize the oil market: IRNA
    26 Aug.`16 - Iran's oil minister said on Friday that Tehran will cooperate with Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to stabilize the world market, but expects others to respect its rights, the ministry's news agency SHANA quoted him as saying.
    Asked about an oil output freeze plan, Bijan Namdar Zanganeh also said that Iran supports any effort to bring stability to the market. "Iran will cooperate with OPEC to help the oil market recover, but expects others to respect its natural rights," he added.

    http://www.politicalforum.com/latest...ilization.html

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    I prefer oil that is not so crude...

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  9. #38
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    Gas jumped 23cts a gallon in two weeks or less
    LETS GO BRANDON
    F Joe Biden

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    Angry

    Saudi Arabia an' Russia in cahoots together...

    Biggest jump in a month for stocks as oil boils
    Mon Sep 5, 2016 - World shares saw their biggest jump in over a month on Monday and the dollar slipped, after weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs figures gave investors another excuse to push back Federal Reserve interest rate rise expectations.
    =Snip=
    HOT OIL

    The sharp rise in oil prices came amid renewed speculation that major producers including Saudi Arabia and Russia could cooperate to tackle weak prices and rein in oversupply. Brent crude futures for November delivery were last up $1.93 per barrel at $48.75 a barrel at 0945 GMT and U.S. crude for October delivery was up $1.60 a barrel at a session high of $46 a barrel.

    Saudi energy minister Khalid al-Falih will make a "significant announcement" at a news conference at 0930 GMT at the G20 summit currently being held in Hangzhou in China.

    This comes after Saudi deputy crown prince told Russian President Vladimir Putin on the sidelines of the same summit that cooperation between the two countries would bring benefit to the global oil market. "Verbal intervention was again needed to trigger a recovery towards $50," senior ABN Amro economist Hans van Cleef said.

    MORE

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    Red face

    Looks like gas prices gonna go up in the near term...

    Oil prices surge as US burns through crude supply at record rate
    8 Sept.`16 - Tropical storms and Hurricane Hermine combined to slow the movement of oil tankers and shut in offshore drilling, forcing the U.S. oil industry to dip into its massive oversupply at the highest rate for this time of year.
    In the past week, the industry used 14.5 million barrels in storage, largely from the East Coast and Gulf Coast, according to government data. Analysts blamed wind and rough seas resulting from Gaston, Hermine and other storms that have impeded ships with cargoes headed for U.S. refineries. As a result, there was also a sharp decline of 1.8 million barrels a day in U.S. imports — oil that comes from places like Saudi Arabia and Nigeria. Gasoline stocks also fell by 4.2 million barrels. While the storms threatened the Gulf of Mexico, 12 percent of U.S. oil drilling in the Gulf was temporarily shut in. Oil prices jumped on the weekly Energy Information Administration report, adding to gains made late Wednesday on similar data from the American Petroleum Institute. West Texas Intermediate futures for October settled at $47.62 per barrel, a gain of more than 4.6 percent. "This is an aberrant report of the first order," said John Kilduff of Again Capital. "I think the East Coast shipments were probably affected by Gaston earlier. There was also a barge that got sunk in the Houston Ship Channel. That also affected the ability of ships to move in and out of the channel."

    Kilduff said the runup in oil prices is overdone though there could be further impacts in next week's data from Hermine which swirled off the East Coast. A positive for prices was the fact that oil production declined last week, instead of rising as it has lately. The U.S. produced 8.46 million barrels last week, down from 8.49 million. Gene McGillian, Tradition Energy manager market research, said prices also appear to be rising, as traders with short positions are forced to buy. "I think that's what's happening since it looks like the drop in crude imports takes a lot of mystery out of why we see this massive drop in inventories," he said. The draw in oil inventories last week amounted to 2.8 percent of the total crude in U.S. storage, outside of the government's Strategic Petroleum Reserve. "It chips away a little bit," said Andrew Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates.

    Even with the storms, U.S. refiners increased the amount of oil they process to over 17 million, the highest level since 1990, said Lipow. "It continues to turn the crude oil surplus into a product surplus," he said. According to EIA data, oil inventories across the nation drew the most for this time of year since records were kept starting in 1982. There was one other larger draw in January 1999 of 15.2 million barrels which Lipow said was likely was related to possible end-of-year inventory considerations. "I suspect over the next few weeks we're going to see inventories recover to a certain extent, as the imports catch up," said Lipow. "There's still plenty of oil out there. What we're seeing is the result of storm impacts on vessel shipping at the same time we still see members of OPEC to increase their oil production."

    The cartel meets at the end of the month in Algeria with Russia and other producers. Russian President Vladimir Putin and Saudi Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman met on the sidelines of the G-20 meeting, and the two countries issued a statement of cooperation which also helped lift prices this week. "I think we'll see more volatile trading ahead of the OPEC meeting," said McGillian. Natural gas futures also rose nearly 5 percent Thursday on the government report of a smaller-than-expected injection of gas into storage. "That looks to be disrupted by the storms as well," Kilduff said.

    http://www.cnbc.com/2016/09/08/oil-p...cord-rate.html

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