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Thread: How Nate Silver and two university profs went 50-0 in predictions

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    How Nate Silver and two university profs went 50-0 in predictions

    Silver, the computer expert who gave Obama a 90 percent chance of winning re-election, predicted on his blog, FiveThirtyEight (for the number of seats in the Electoral College), that the president would receive 51 per cent of the popular vote as he called each of the 50 states, including all nine battlegrounds.

    “Nate Silver, right,” said Bill Burton, who moved from the White House to the pro-Obama super-political action committee Priorities USA Action.

    Gallup’s daily national tracking poll put Republican nominee Mitt Romney ahead by five points until it was suspended for Hurricane Sandy, and a final national survey released Nov. 5 gave the Republican a one-point advantage.

    “These polls are designed only to measure what is happening at the time of that poll in terms of the national popular vote” and are not “designed to be predictive,” Gallup editor-in-chief Frank Newport said.

    With the count in Florida still to be finished, Obama was leading Romney nationwide by two percentage points, 50 per cent to 48 per cent, the Associated Press reported, and won a decisive Electoral College victory.

    Two university-based pollsters joined Silver in correctly predicting Obama’s win, and one of them will be dead-on about the electoral vote tally.hestar.com/images/8b/c5/8fae1b2e458a83dbcdad32695e21.jpg

    http://www.thestar.com/news/world/us...in-predictions
    Conservatism is the fear that somewhere, somehow, someone you think is your inferior is being treated as your equal"


    con·serv·a·tive ; kənˈsərvətiv / adjective

    1. holding to traditional attitudes and values and cautious about change or innovation, typically in relation to politics or religion.


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    they trusted facts and sceince.


    its why the republicans cant get anything right anymore.

    they hate facts and science

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    Quote Originally Posted by truthmatters View Post
    they trusted facts and sceince.


    its why the republicans cant get anything right anymore.

    they hate facts and science
    Care to explain the science?

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    Polling is a sceince

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    Quote Originally Posted by truthmatters View Post
    Polling is a sceince


    Hell, you can't even spell the word.

  6. The Following User Says Thank You to Chris For This Useful Post:

    Peter1469 (11-07-2012)

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    bla bla bla.

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    Nate was correct and your party can no longer win elections

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    Quote Originally Posted by chris View Post
    care to explain the science?
    math!
    Conservatism is the fear that somewhere, somehow, someone you think is your inferior is being treated as your equal"


    con·serv·a·tive ; kənˈsərvətiv / adjective

    1. holding to traditional attitudes and values and cautious about change or innovation, typically in relation to politics or religion.


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    they hate it when things are done correctly

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    Quote Originally Posted by truthmatters View Post
    bla bla bla.
    Now that's the definition of science I expected from you. You haven't a clue what science is. You misuse the word just as you misuse lie.

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