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Thread: How Nate Silver and two university profs went 50-0 in predictions

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    How Nate Silver and two university profs went 50-0 in predictions

    Silver, the computer expert who gave Obama a 90 percent chance of winning re-election, predicted on his blog, FiveThirtyEight (for the number of seats in the Electoral College), that the president would receive 51 per cent of the popular vote as he called each of the 50 states, including all nine battlegrounds.

    “Nate Silver, right,” said Bill Burton, who moved from the White House to the pro-Obama super-political action committee Priorities USA Action.

    Gallup’s daily national tracking poll put Republican nominee Mitt Romney ahead by five points until it was suspended for Hurricane Sandy, and a final national survey released Nov. 5 gave the Republican a one-point advantage.

    “These polls are designed only to measure what is happening at the time of that poll in terms of the national popular vote” and are not “designed to be predictive,” Gallup editor-in-chief Frank Newport said.

    With the count in Florida still to be finished, Obama was leading Romney nationwide by two percentage points, 50 per cent to 48 per cent, the Associated Press reported, and won a decisive Electoral College victory.

    Two university-based pollsters joined Silver in correctly predicting Obama’s win, and one of them will be dead-on about the electoral vote tally.hestar.com/images/8b/c5/8fae1b2e458a83dbcdad32695e21.jpg

    http://www.thestar.com/news/world/us...in-predictions

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    they trusted facts and sceince.


    its why the republicans cant get anything right anymore.

    they hate facts and science

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    Quote Originally Posted by truthmatters View Post
    they trusted facts and sceince.


    its why the republicans cant get anything right anymore.

    they hate facts and science
    Care to explain the science?

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    Quote Originally Posted by chris View Post
    care to explain the science?
    math!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Cigar View Post
    math!


    Math ain't science.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Chris View Post


    Math ain't science.

    There's little science with out it.

    I can see why you guys are in the dark ages.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Cigar View Post
    math!

    ...no, it's called "fear tactics"...my wife and I voted exactly the same on ballot measures...but...she couldn't vote for anyone with an "R" attached to her name because she bought all the BS about women loosing their rights...not science, just fear tactics...but I will say this to you demorats, "if you don't cheat it just means you don't want to win bad enough"...


    Kabuki Joe

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    Polling is a sceince

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    Quote Originally Posted by truthmatters View Post
    Polling is a sceince


    Hell, you can't even spell the word.

  10. The Following User Says Thank You to Chris For This Useful Post:

    Peter1469 (11-07-2012)

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    Nate was correct and your party can no longer win elections

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