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Thread: What is driving the India-China standoff at Doklam?

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    What is driving the India-China standoff at Doklam?

    What is driving the India-China standoff at Doklam?

    Interesting times. Two nuclear powers in a conflict over a place 99% of Americans never heard of.

    Since mid-June, scores of Indian and Chinese troops have reportedly been locked in a standoff on a piece of territory claimed by China and Bhutan. Though the dispute between the two nuclear-armed rising Asian giants might appear to be a bilateral affair, the dispute in question is a tripartite one, as it involves the tiny Himalayan kingdom of Bhutan at its center: the terrain in question is claimed by Bhutan, which has long had a special and privileged relationship with New Delhi while having no diplomatic ties with Beijing. As of this writing in mid-July, China’s position remains that diplomacy can only be possible after India unilaterally withdraws its troops back to its side of the international border and the standoff appears no closer to a resolution.
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    Are China and India on the road to war?

    Here is an article from Geopolitical Futures.

    Put two major powers next to each other, even on the world’s largest continent with buffer states between them, and they’re bound to bump heads from time to time. China and India have most often fought over Kashmir and Arunachal Pradesh state, which borders China in an isolated patch of Indian territory east of what’s known as the Siliguri Corridor. The corridor is a narrow strip of land – just 17 miles (27 kilometers) wide at its narrowest point – that connects the rest of India to its northeastern states wedged between Bhutan, Bangladesh, Myanmar and China















    Most Read on South Asia
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    4. India: One State, Many Countries
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    No. No one in their right mind would mess with India. They are nuclear and have well over a billion people. A bloody war would solve a lot of problems for them.

    A nuclear war would solve a lot of problems for them.

    Worse, they have unsolvable issues that you would inherit if you occupied them. What would be the goal?

    They have a ton of coal, manganese, and iron. So you could make steel. But China already has that.

    And war at 20000 feet could be unpredictable. Do your helicopters work? How do you get equipment and supplies up there? What would you gain by winning?

    Kashmir is just as bad. My dad was at the Pakistan India border. They have this sabre rattling dual changing of the guard every day. Totally trippy stuff. Dad has some great pictures.

    They go out of their way to show how serious they are, then they kick off their shoes and watch a little HBO until their next shift.

    Geopolitically India has nowhere to go. The Himalayas to the north, the Indian Ocean to the south. Pakistan to the west, and the wretched, desperate, and over populated Bangladesh and more mountains to the east. If you leave them alone they will stay right there.
    Last edited by Bethere; 08-02-2017 at 12:01 AM.

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    Peter1469 (08-02-2017)

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    I suspect it there is any fighting it will be a short border skirmish.
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    With Live-Fire Drill, China Warns India Not to Test Beijing

    Beijing is intensifying its warnings to Indian troops to get out of a contested region high in the Himalayas where China, India and Bhutan meet, saying China's "restraint has its limits" and publicizing live-fire drills in Tibet.

    Indian troops entered the area in the Doklam Plateau in June after New Delhi's ally, Bhutan, complained a Chinese military construction party was building a road inside Bhutan's territory.


    Beijing says Doklam is located in Tibet and that the border dispute between China and Bhutan has nothing to do with India. It has demanded that Indian troops withdraw before any talks.
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    Here is an update: commentary from World Politics Review.

    India Takes a Bold Approach in Border Standoff With China, but the Endgame Is Unclear

    The border standoff between Indian and Chinese troops on the remote Doklam area in the Himalayas is approaching the two-month mark with no end in sight. Simultaneously egged on and hemmed in by nationalistic fervor at home, neither government can afford to back down, making escalation a real risk. India’s national security adviser, Ajit Doval, met with China’s state councilor, Yang Jiechi, and President Xi Jinping at the end of July, but the two sides failed to reach an agreement to quell the border row.


    The most serious dispute between India and China in decades, the standoff at Doklam represents a shift in ties between Asia’s two primary powers, with India acting more forcefully to counter Chinese influence and activities in South Asia. New Delhi’s bold decision to confront Chinese troops at Doklam—an area near India’s so-called tri-border with China and Bhutan—surprised and angered Beijing. While India may have succeeded in standing up to China in the short run, the endgame remains unclear and fraught with danger. Even if a peaceful resolution is achieved quickly, the China-India relationship, complicated under the best of circumstances, has entered a new, tenser stage
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    The standoff continues.

    For the past two months, Indian and Chinese troops have faced off on a plateau in the Himalayas in tense proximity, in a dispute prompted by moves by the Chinese military to build a road into territory claimed by India’s close ally, Bhutan.

    India has suggested that both sides withdraw, and its foreign minister said in Parliament that the dispute can be resolved only by dialogue.


    Yet China has vociferously defended the right it claims to build a road in the Doklam area, territory it also claims.
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    Apparently the situation has been handled diplomatically.

    India, China agree to pull back troops to resolve tense border dispute

    India and China have withdrawn troops from a disputed Himalayan region on their border, foreign ministries from the two countries announced Monday, defusing a tense standoff that had threatened to provoke armed conflict between the nuclear-armed Asian rivals.

    For the past two months, Indian and Chinese troops had faced off on a plateau in the Doklam area in the Himalayas after Indian troops moved in to prevent the Chinese military from building a road into territory claimed by India’s close ally, Bhutan.


    China had repeatedly and furiously denounced the Indian move as a direct infringement of its sovereignty, demanded an immediate and unconditional withdrawal, and warned that conflict was a real possibility if that didn’t happen.
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