Republicans Are in a Precarious Situation Heading Into Midterms

[Bethere]

You're the one talking about polls showing who will win. Same polls that were wrong last year.

Except the vast majority of polls were within the margin of error.

[Kalkin]

The election is over. I suggest the GOP start worrying about the next two elections.

Why on god's green earth would the GOP take any suggestion from the likes of you? Your party is in the toilet.

[Captdon]

Hillary is not running for Congress in 2018.

You're the one using history.

[Bethere]

Yet, he beat the unbeatable Clinton.

He's not running for congress, nor is he the topic of this thread.

[Kalkin]

Your post is based on a false premise.

The Master's assessment: FAIL.

My post was based on observed reality, unlike your third person small-ego-disguising self-identifier.

[Peter1469]

I think they underestimate just how much Trump is hated and just how much he has tarnished the GOP.

Here's the difference between any other GOP president- whether people disagreed with them in the past, most found them personally likable. For example, I could have a beer with W and most likely have a lot of fun. But I wouldn't piss on Trump if he were on fire. He's a disgusting human being. I think a lot of people feel that way, even some of those who voted for him. The GOP needs to wake up to that fact. If they don't, its going to cost them in the next two elections.

The GOP needs to die. As does the Dems.

[Peter1469]

She in fact did get millions more votes. Dems have done that 6 out of the last 7 presidential elections. As for the polls? They were excellent, almost all within the margin of error.

There is no electoral college for congressional elections.

I know that this isn't what you've been told or what you want to hear. It's good that you hear it first from your friend bethere.

Illegals.

[Kacper]

I think they underestimate just how much Trump is hated and just how much he has tarnished the GOP.

Here's the difference between any other GOP president- whether people disagreed with them in the past, most found them personally likable. For example, I could have a beer with W and most likely have a lot of fun. But I wouldn't piss on Trump if he were on fire. He's a disgusting human being. I think a lot of people feel that way, even some of those who voted for him. The GOP needs to wake up to that fact. If they don't, its going to cost them in the next two elections.

He was the devil in the eye of most people when he won. I doubt that many will have changed their viewpoint. In the mean time, the DNC has a massive amount of ground to cover with very little money. They have something close to 3 times as many senate seats up and their entire house membership and they don't have enough cash to cover the entire country. Money buys elections and the DCCC ain't got none.

[Grokmaster]

Rut roh!

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/fir...dterms-n820176

WASHINGTON — After last week’s gubernatorial contests in New Jersey and Virginia, we are now less than a year away from the 2018 midterm elections. And Republicans find themselves in a dangerous situation.

• An unpopular president: On average, since the Truman Era, a president's party loses more than 28 House seats in his first midterm election. And the average has been 43.5 House seats the six times the president's job-approval rating has been below 50 percent. Well, Trump's most recent approval rating is 39 percent, per Gallup. And Democrats need to pick up 24 House seats to win back that chamber.

• More than 20 House GOP retirements — and counting: By NBC’s count, more than 20 House Republicans won’t be running for re-election, including at least five who hail from competitive districts.

• An expanded playing field: According to the Cook Political Report, 61 House Republican seats are in the Toss Up, Lean Republican or Likely Republican categories, while another seat (Ileana Ros-Lehtinen's) is Lean Democratic. That’s compared with 20 House Democratic seats that are Toss Up, Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic.

• The polls: Democrats, on average, enjoy close to a double-digit lead on the generic ballot. FiveThirtyEight’s Harry Enten writes that the generic congressional ballot, even more than a year out, “has historically been quite predictive of what will eventually occur in the following year.”

• A divided GOP: Finally, the Republican Party remains divided, with President Trump blaming congressional leaders (particularly Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell) for the GOP’s legislative failures. Why is that problematic? It makes it harder to convince Trump voters to reward these leaders by re-electing incumbent Republicans.

And now, some badly-needed perspective:


GOP = 32 State Legislatures, BOTH HOUSES; 17 with VETO-PROOF MAJORITIES, representing over 60% of the US population. GOP =33 Governors vs 16 dems.


The GOP has won ALL FOUR NATIONAL OFFICE SPECIAL ELECTIONS since Pres. Trump's taking office, as well.



"Rut-roh"

[Bethere]

And now, some badly-needed perspective:


GOP = 32 State Legislatures, BOTH HOUSES; 17 with VETO-PROOF MAJORITIES, representing over 60% of the US population. GOP =33 Governors vs 16 dems.


The GOP has won ALL FOUR NATIONAL OFFICE SPECIAL ELECTIONS since Pres. Trump's taking office, as well.



"Rut-roh"

You need to update your numbers.