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Thread: “False Alarm” By Bjorn Lomborg

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    “False Alarm” By Bjorn Lomborg

    “False Alarm” By Bjorn Lomborg is a review of Lomberg's latest book.

    Let us be clear here, Lomberg accepts climate change: "Lomborg is a 'lukewarmer'. He thinks global warming is real, man-made, and a serious problem, which can be and needs to be tackled." But he disagrees it's a crisis, disputes it's an existential risk.

    Here's why in a nutshell:

    Since the start of the industrial revolution, the planet has warmed by a shade under 2°F, or 1.1°C. The IPCC’s best estimate is that if no further action were taken to slow the warming, the increase by 2100 would be 7.2°F, or 4°C. Nordhaus’ model indicates that this level of warming would reduce global GDP by 2.9%. To be on the safe side, Nordhaus adds an extra 25% to each element of forecast damage, which takes the overall GDP reduction to 4%.

    Between now and 2100, economists expect global GDP to increase by about 450%, so the forecast warming-derived damage would reduce this increase to 434%. This is clearly important, but not catastrophic. The IPCC itself says “for most economic sectors, the impact of climate change will be small relative to the impacts of other drivers” such as population growth, income growth, and so on. Nordhaus says that global warming “is not like a huge asteroid hurtling toward earth. It is instead a long-term chronic condition, like diabetes.”
    Read more at link or watch video:

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    FindersKeepers (09-10-2020)

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    Calypso Jones's Avatar Banned
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    I expect him to be the next victim of the cancel culture.

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    Peter1469 (09-10-2020)

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    Lummy's Avatar Senior Member
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    "False Alarm on Climate Hysteria" has cost many billions of dollars. Heads should roll for it, literally.

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    MisterVeritis (08-19-2020)

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    Quote Originally Posted by Calypso Jones View Post
    I expect him to be the next victim of the cancel culture.
    He is already hated by warmists the world over, his early book (2001) The Skeptical Environmentalists (I own the book) got him targeted by those who wants to consolidate power over the people.
    "Freedom is a fragile thing and is never more than one generation away from extinction. It is not ours by inheritance; it must be fought for and defended constantly by each generation, for it comes only once to a people. Those who have known freedom and then lost it have never known it again." Ronald Reagan

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    Greta Thunberg et al say After two years of school strikes, the world is still in a state of climate crisis denial

    On Thursday 20 August, it will be exactly two years since the first school strike for the climate took place. Looking back, a lot has happened. Many millions have taken to the streets to join the decades-long fight for climate and environmental justice. And on 28 November 2019, the European parliament declared a “climate and environmental emergency”.

    But over these past two years, the world has also emitted more than 80 gigatonnes of CO2. We have seen continuous natural disasters taking place across the globe: wildfires, heatwaves, flooding, hurricanes, storms, thawing of permafrost and collapsing of glaciers and whole ecosystems. Many lives and livelihoods have been lost. And this is only the very beginning.

    Today, leaders all over the world are speaking of an “existential crisis”. The climate emergency is discussed on countless panels and summits. Commitments are being made, big speeches are given. Yet, when it comes to action we are still in a state of denial. The climate and ecological crisis has never once been treated as a crisis. The gap between what we need to do and what’s actually being done is widening by the minute. Effectively, we have lost another two crucial years to political inaction.

    ...
    In the background plays Hee Haw's "Gloom Despair And Agony On Me."

    From justice to social justice, which isn't justice at all, to now "climate and environmental justice."

    It's not denial, it's just not buying into the leftist narrative.
    Tradition is not the worship of ashes, but the preservation of fire. ― Gustav Mahler

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    Collateral Damage (08-27-2020)

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    Anyone listening to the Climate Panic Clowns is a moron.

    If we do not buy Carbon Credits from some Obama supporter in Chicago then you will burn like the fires of hell!

    But these clows flying their private jets and driving SUV between conferences tell you to give them grant money!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Chris View Post
    Greta Thunberg et al say After two years of school strikes, the world is still in a state of climate crisis denial



    In the background plays Hee Haw's "Gloom Despair And Agony On Me."

    From justice to social justice, which isn't justice at all, to now "climate and environmental justice."

    It's not denial, it's just not buying into the leftist narrative.
    But the SJWs are burning down the cities. Didn't they hear?

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    Quote Originally Posted by carolina73 View Post
    But the SJWs are burning down the cities. Didn't they hear?
    I have also seen a lot of headlines lately about the rich leaving the cities.
    Tradition is not the worship of ashes, but the preservation of fire. ― Gustav Mahler

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    I did watch some of the video and didn't find it interesting - no tough questions. I also read a review by the Nobel prize winning economist, Joseph Stiglitz, in the New York Times, and another review in the Guardian.

    I don't think that Bjorn Lomborg takes climate change seriously because he believes that humans can adapt to a rise in the global mean temperature of as much as 3.75 degrees Celsius by the year 2100.

    This is from the Guardian: https://www.theguardian.com/books/20...nberger-review

    A graph in Lomborg’s book shows that he has used Dice to predict that 4.1C of global warming by the end of the century would only reduce global economic output, or GDP, by about 4%. He also finds that even more extreme warming of 7C would lead to a loss of GDP of just 15%. These are hard to reconcile with the scientific evidence that such temperature changes would utterly transform the world.

    Lomborg also exaggerates the costs of action by automatically doubling researchers’ estimates for reducing emissions. He justifies this by referring to an obscure study in 2009 that concluded it may prove twice as costly as the European commission expected for the member states to cut their collective emissions by 20% by 2020. But the European Union reached its target ahead of schedule in 2018, with the price of emissions permits over the previous decade usually at less than half of the level anticipated by the commission.
    Nevertheless, Lomborg doubles Nordhaus’s estimates of the costs of global action and concludes that the “optimal” level of global warming, balancing both damages and emissions cuts, would be 3.75C by 2100.
    This calculation made me laugh out loud because modern humans have no evolutionary experience of the climate that would be created by such a temperature rise. The last time the Earth was more than 2C warmer than pre-industrial times was during the Pliocene epoch, three million years ago, when the polar ice caps were much smaller and global sea level was 10 to 20 metres higher than today. Only lukewarmers would claim that modern humans are best suited to a prehistoric climate!
    In short, these new books truly deserve their place on the bookshelf among other classic examples of political propaganda.

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    Quote Originally Posted by skepticalmike View Post
    I did watch some of the video and didn't find it interesting - no tough questions. I also read a review by the Nobel prize winning economist, Joseph Stiglitz, in the New York Times, and another review in the Guardian.

    I don't think that Bjorn Lomborg takes climate change seriously because he believes that humans can adapt to a rise in the global mean temperature of as much as 3.75 degrees Celsius by the year 2100.

    This is from the Guardian: https://www.theguardian.com/books/20...nberger-review

    [FONT="]A graph in Lomborg’s book shows that he has used Dice to predict that 4.1C of global warming by the end of the century would only reduce global economic output, or GDP, by about 4%. He also finds that even more extreme warming of 7C would lead to a loss of GDP of just 15%. These are hard to reconcile with the scientific evidence that such temperature changes would utterly transform the world.

    [/FONT]
    [FONT="]Lomborg also exaggerates the costs of action by automatically doubling researchers’ estimates for reducing emissions. He justifies this by referring to an obscure study in 2009 that concluded it may prove twice as costly as the European commission expected for the member states to cut their collective emissions by 20% by 2020. But the European Union reached its target ahead of schedule in 2018, with the price of emissions permits over the previous decade usually at less than half of the level anticipated by the commission.[/FONT]
    [FONT="]Nevertheless, Lomborg doubles Nordhaus’s estimates of the costs of global action and concludes that the “optimal” level of global warming, balancing both damages and emissions cuts, would be 3.75C by 2100.[/FONT]
    [FONT="]This calculation made me laugh out loud because modern humans have no evolutionary experience of the climate that would be created by such a temperature rise. The last time the Earth was more than 2C warmer than pre-industrial times was during the Pliocene epoch, three million years ago, when the polar ice caps were much smaller and global sea level was 10 to 20 metres higher than today. Only lukewarmers would claim that modern humans are best suited to a prehistoric climate![/FONT]
    In short, these new books truly deserve their place on the bookshelf among other classic examples of political propaganda.

    Rather, Lomborg takes climate change seriously, just that he doesn't see it as a crisis. That's the meaning of lukewarmer.


    Speaking of propaganda, the subtitle to the piece you link to says "Two prominent ‘lukewarmers’ take climate science denial to another level, offering tepid manifestos at best". Lukewarmers do not deny climate change. That's just a jit piece that argues Lomborg is something he's not and then attacks what he's not.
    Tradition is not the worship of ashes, but the preservation of fire. ― Gustav Mahler

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