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Thread: Do rally sizes equate to the likely popular vote?

  1. #21
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    countryboy's Avatar Senior Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by pjohns View Post
    As someone recently noted, the size of each presidential candidate's rallies, as the election approaches, is usually a good proxy for who will win the election--at least, the popular vote.

    But a reasonable counter-argument is that not that many people are enthusiastic about Joe Biden, so his rallies are really quite small; but there are many Never Trumpers who will vote for Biden, nonetheless--even though they decline to show up at his rallies.

    Thoughts?
    Hard to say. Unfortunately, an unenthusiastic vote counts just as much as an enthusiastic one.
    Cutesy Time is OVER

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    Davis's Avatar Banned
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    56% of the country thinks he doesn't deserve to be re-elected. There's plenty of enthusuasm to throw him out.
    No rallies required.

  3. #23
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    countryboy's Avatar Senior Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by Davis View Post
    56% of the country thinks he doesn't deserve to be re-elected. There's plenty of enthusuasm to throw him out.
    No rallies required.
    Sorry, but 56% of 800 libs isn't "the country".
    Cutesy Time is OVER

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    Quote Originally Posted by countryboy View Post
    Sorry, but 56% of 800 libs isn't "the country".
    Keep telling yourself that. It should work great until the middle of next week.

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    countryboy's Avatar Senior Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by Davis View Post
    Keep telling yourself that. It should work great until the middle of next week.
    We'll see.
    Cutesy Time is OVER

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    Crepitus's Avatar Senior Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by pjohns View Post
    As someone recently noted, the size of each presidential candidate's rallies, as the election approaches, is usually a good proxy for who will win the election--at least, the popular vote.

    But a reasonable counter-argument is that not that many people are enthusiastic about Joe Biden, so his rallies are really quite small; but there are many Never Trumpers who will vote for Biden, nonetheless--even though they decline to show up at his rallies.

    Thoughts?
    Right now rally size shows who's smart enough to stay safe and who's not.
    People who think a movie about plastic dolls is trying to turn their kids gay or trans are now officially known as

    Barbie Q’s

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    RichardMZhlubb's Avatar Senior Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tahuyaman View Post
    I don’t recall that. I recall that they thought Romney would win because the ACA was very unpopular then as were Obama’s economic policies. Plus his foreign policy was a disaster. It had nothing to do with the size of a rally.

    In fact on the right there was little to no enthusiasm for Romney’s campaign. A significant number of conservatives stayed home for his election.

    If your memory was accurate, you’d remember that Romney lost an election which was previously thought to be impossible to lose.
    Peggy Noonan wrote an embarrassing column the weekend before the election in 2012 in which she said she was sure that Romney would win because he was drawing big crowds.

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    Quote Originally Posted by RichardMZhlubb View Post
    Peggy Noonan wrote an embarrassing column the weekend before the election in 2012 in which she said she was sure that Romney would win because he was drawing big crowds.
    Who gives a $#@! about Peggy Noonan? You failed to address my comment because you know I am right.

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    Abby08's Avatar Senior Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by Crepitus View Post
    Right now rally size shows who's smart enough to stay safe and who's not.

    LOL.....no, it actually screams loud and clear, who the people prefer.

    If it was reversed, you'd be judging the popularity of both candidates by the numbers of people who were showing up.

    Biden and his supporters are using covid as an excuse for poor turn outs.......if covid was an issue, Trump's rallies would be empty like Biden's.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Crepitus View Post
    Right now rally size shows who's smart enough to stay safe and who's not.

    Any excuse you need, go with it.

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