User Tag List

+ Reply to Thread
Page 1 of 15 1234511 ... LastLast
Results 1 to 10 of 148

Thread: Arizona: Trump 48%, Biden 45%

  1. #1
    Points: 16,561, Level: 31
    Level completed: 12%, Points required for next Level: 889
    Overall activity: 0.1%
    Achievements:
    Social10000 Experience PointsVeteran
    US Conservative's Avatar Senior Member
    Karma
    5455
    Join Date
    Aug 2020
    Posts
    4,242
    Points
    16,561
    Level
    31
    Thanks Given
    6,760
    Thanked 5,445x in 2,856 Posts
    Mentioned
    6 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)

    Arizona: Trump 48%, Biden 45%

    President Trump has moved to a three-point lead over Democrat Joe Biden in Arizona just days before Election Day.
    A new Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey of Likely Voters in Arizona shows Trump leading Biden 48% to 45%. Little over a week ago, the Democrat had a 48% to 46% advantage. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, while four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
    Factor in those who haven’t made up their minds yet but are leaning toward one candidate or the other, and Trump gains a point, taking a 49% to 45% lead.

    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...mp_48_biden_45

    Typically polls are not particularly useful, but as we near the election, and particular in relation to the relative change in position of candidates they are more useful.

    The news about the economy roaring back and the lowest unemployment in 7 months also came out today-and Trump will be sure to get that message across.

    Thinking back to the 2016 election, we saw Trump close the gap and then surpass Hillary in the last few weeks of the election, and I think we are seeing something similar here as well.

    In response to polling, Pelosi is now advising Democrat voters to vote in person-after months of terrifying her base on the importance of mail in voting. I think the early returns are not something they like.

  2. The Following 5 Users Say Thank You to US Conservative For This Useful Post:

    Captain Krunch (10-29-2020),carolina73 (11-01-2020),Daily Bread (10-30-2020),MMC (10-30-2020),RMNIXON (10-29-2020)

  3. #2
    Points: 145,642, Level: 91
    Level completed: 72%, Points required for next Level: 1,008
    Overall activity: 0.0%
    Achievements:
    Social50000 Experience PointsVeteran
    Private Pickle's Avatar Advisor
    Karma
    181647
    Join Date
    Jan 2013
    Location
    Rocky Mountain High
    Posts
    49,929
    Points
    145,642
    Level
    91
    Thanks Given
    8,572
    Thanked 13,114x in 9,773 Posts
    Mentioned
    307 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    I wonder if McCain being gone has any impact on this.
    I find your lack of faith...disturbing...

    -Darth Vader

  4. #3
    Points: 61,626, Level: 60
    Level completed: 64%, Points required for next Level: 724
    Overall activity: 12.0%
    Achievements:
    Tagger First ClassSocialVeteran50000 Experience Points
    pjohns's Avatar Senior Member
    Karma
    14592
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Location
    Tennessee
    Posts
    8,001
    Points
    61,626
    Level
    60
    Thanks Given
    19,696
    Thanked 4,286x in 2,745 Posts
    Mentioned
    42 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Liberals, of course, simply detest Rasmussen. They seem to think that he should be ostracized from polite company--just like Fox News.

    But I especially like the fact that Scott Rasmussen polled likely voters. (Merely registered voters amount to very little, in my opinion.)

    And I would much prefer this to the RealClearPolitics "average"--which mixes polls of likely voters with polls of merely registered voters; and also mixes different dates for the surveys taken (some being about a month old).

  5. The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to pjohns For This Useful Post:

    Captain Krunch (10-29-2020),US Conservative (10-29-2020)

  6. #4
    Points: 62,451, Level: 61
    Level completed: 5%, Points required for next Level: 1,999
    Overall activity: 0.2%
    Achievements:
    SocialTagger First ClassVeteranRecommendation Second ClassOverdrive50000 Experience Points
    Calypso Jones's Avatar Banned
    Karma
    26181
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Location
    Shenandoah Valley, Virginia
    Posts
    14,239
    Points
    62,451
    Level
    61
    Thanks Given
    5,075
    Thanked 10,860x in 6,374 Posts
    Mentioned
    109 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Nobody is polling trump supporters..and a lot of trump supporters are lying to pollsters. I know i would if i were polled.

  7. The Following 3 Users Say Thank You to Calypso Jones For This Useful Post:

    pjohns (10-30-2020),Sybil Ludington (10-31-2020),US Conservative (10-29-2020)

  8. #5
    Points: 145,085, Level: 91
    Level completed: 57%, Points required for next Level: 1,565
    Overall activity: 66.0%
    Achievements:
    Social50000 Experience PointsOverdriveVeteran
    carolina73's Avatar Senior Member
    Karma
    44140
    Join Date
    Sep 2019
    Posts
    58,042
    Points
    145,085
    Level
    91
    Thanks Given
    56,509
    Thanked 44,145x in 28,535 Posts
    Mentioned
    154 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by pjohns View Post
    Liberals, of course, simply detest Rasmussen. They seem to think that he should be ostracized from polite company--just like Fox News.

    But I especially like the fact that Scott Rasmussen polled likely voters. (Merely registered voters amount to very little, in my opinion.)

    And I would much prefer this to the RealClearPolitics "average"--which mixes polls of likely voters with polls of merely registered voters; and also mixes different dates for the surveys taken (some being about a month old).
    Most polls do change over to Likely Voters in the final 2 months.

    I just wonder as a conservative why I never know anyone that gets polled.

    Then I wonder who the hell would spend 30 minutes on the phone telling a stranger everything they want to know.

    Then I wonder who tells the truth.

  9. The Following 3 Users Say Thank You to carolina73 For This Useful Post:

    Captain Krunch (10-29-2020),pjohns (10-30-2020),US Conservative (10-29-2020)

  10. #6
    Points: 64,905, Level: 62
    Level completed: 22%, Points required for next Level: 1,645
    Overall activity: 8.0%
    Achievements:
    50000 Experience PointsVeteranSocial
    texan's Avatar Senior Member
    Karma
    32901
    Join Date
    Dec 2013
    Location
    Dallas
    Posts
    12,705
    Points
    64,905
    Level
    62
    Thanks Given
    3,534
    Thanked 5,791x in 3,870 Posts
    Mentioned
    125 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by Private Pickle View Post
    I wonder if McCain being gone has any impact on this.
    Maybe. At least he doesn't have him out there running around. But Cindy McCain has an ad for Biden running everywhere including there. So they are still after him.
    I am tired of everyone fighting with each other. This is all by design.

  11. The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to texan For This Useful Post:

    Captain Krunch (10-29-2020),US Conservative (10-29-2020)

  12. #7
    Points: 4,279, Level: 15
    Level completed: 46%, Points required for next Level: 271
    Overall activity: 0%
    Achievements:
    1000 Experience PointsVeteran
    rgf's Avatar Senior Member
    Karma
    101
    Join Date
    Nov 2019
    Posts
    247
    Points
    4,279
    Level
    15
    Thanks Given
    1
    Thanked 91x in 73 Posts
    Mentioned
    4 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Added today

    DATES POLLSTER SAMPLE RESULT NET RESULT
    President: general election Ariz. OCT 27-29, 2020 Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research 800 LV Biden 45% 49% Trump Trump +4
    KEY
    A = ADULTS

    RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

    V = VOTERS

    LV = LIKELY VOTERS




    Yesterday

    President: general election Ariz. OCT 26-28, 2020 Gravis Marketing 704 LV Biden 48% 44% Trump Biden +4
    President: general election Ariz. OCT 21-27, 2020 Ipsos 714 LV Tie More EVEN
    President: general election Ariz. OCT 21-27, 2020 Ipsos 714 LV Biden 48% 46% Trump Biden +2
    President: general election Ariz. SEP 30-OCT 27, 2020 SurveyMonkey 5,609 LV Biden 52% 46% Trump Biden +6
    President: general election Ariz. SEP 30-OCT 27, 2020 SurveyMonkey 5,609 RV Biden 54% 44% Trump Biden +10
    President: general election Ariz. OCT 22-25, 2020 The Justice Collaborative Institute 1,007 RV Biden 49% 43% Trump Biden +6
    President: general election Ariz. OCT 17-25, 2020 Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research 725 RV Biden 50% 45% Trump Biden +5

    I would like at the totality of the recent polls. Don't bet the farm on a Rasmussen poll.

  13. #8
    Points: 64,905, Level: 62
    Level completed: 22%, Points required for next Level: 1,645
    Overall activity: 8.0%
    Achievements:
    50000 Experience PointsVeteranSocial
    texan's Avatar Senior Member
    Karma
    32901
    Join Date
    Dec 2013
    Location
    Dallas
    Posts
    12,705
    Points
    64,905
    Level
    62
    Thanks Given
    3,534
    Thanked 5,791x in 3,870 Posts
    Mentioned
    125 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by Calypso Jones View Post
    Nobody is polling trump supporters..and a lot of trump supporters are lying to pollsters. I know i would if i were polled.
    People travelling around over the past week said there are several Biden Harris signs. A few Trump here and there. But a surge in American flag signs. Those my friends are Trump voters who don't want their property damaged.
    I am tired of everyone fighting with each other. This is all by design.

  14. The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to texan For This Useful Post:

    Captain Krunch (10-29-2020),US Conservative (10-29-2020)

  15. #9
    Points: 16,561, Level: 31
    Level completed: 12%, Points required for next Level: 889
    Overall activity: 0.1%
    Achievements:
    Social10000 Experience PointsVeteran
    US Conservative's Avatar Senior Member
    Karma
    5455
    Join Date
    Aug 2020
    Posts
    4,242
    Points
    16,561
    Level
    31
    Thanks Given
    6,760
    Thanked 5,445x in 2,856 Posts
    Mentioned
    6 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by rgf View Post
    Added today

    DATES POLLSTER SAMPLE RESULT NET RESULT
    President: general election Ariz. OCT 27-29, 2020 Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research 800 LV Biden 45% 49% Trump Trump +4
    KEY
    A = ADULTS

    RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

    V = VOTERS

    LV = LIKELY VOTERS




    Yesterday

    President: general election Ariz. OCT 26-28, 2020 Gravis Marketing 704 LV Biden 48% 44% Trump Biden +4
    President: general election Ariz. OCT 21-27, 2020 Ipsos 714 LV Tie More EVEN
    President: general election Ariz. OCT 21-27, 2020 Ipsos 714 LV Biden 48% 46% Trump Biden +2
    President: general election Ariz. SEP 30-OCT 27, 2020 SurveyMonkey 5,609 LV Biden 52% 46% Trump Biden +6
    President: general election Ariz. SEP 30-OCT 27, 2020 SurveyMonkey 5,609 RV Biden 54% 44% Trump Biden +10
    President: general election Ariz. OCT 22-25, 2020 The Justice Collaborative Institute 1,007 RV Biden 49% 43% Trump Biden +6
    President: general election Ariz. OCT 17-25, 2020 Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research 725 RV Biden 50% 45% Trump Biden +5

    I would like at the totality of the recent polls. Don't bet the farm on a Rasmussen poll.
    Your polls show a gradual decline in Biden support as well.

    Biden is now going to do last minute campaigning in Minnesota.

    That suggests he's worried about that state.

    Bidens campaign manager recently pointed out that the public polls were off and the actual internal polling was far closer.

  16. The Following 3 Users Say Thank You to US Conservative For This Useful Post:

    Captain Krunch (10-29-2020),MMC (10-30-2020),pjohns (10-30-2020)

  17. #10
    Points: 145,642, Level: 91
    Level completed: 72%, Points required for next Level: 1,008
    Overall activity: 0.0%
    Achievements:
    Social50000 Experience PointsVeteran
    Private Pickle's Avatar Advisor
    Karma
    181647
    Join Date
    Jan 2013
    Location
    Rocky Mountain High
    Posts
    49,929
    Points
    145,642
    Level
    91
    Thanks Given
    8,572
    Thanked 13,114x in 9,773 Posts
    Mentioned
    307 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by texan View Post
    Maybe. At least he doesn't have him out there running around. But Cindy McCain has an ad for Biden running everywhere including there. So they are still after him.
    Not surprising. No love lost there.
    I find your lack of faith...disturbing...

    -Darth Vader

+ Reply to Thread

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts