Johns Hopkins Medical Professor Wonders Why No One Is Talking About the 77% Decline

[Sybil Ludington]

The great unanswered question about the China virus pandemic (an alert commenter noted that a pandemic is just a Dem surrounded by panic–PANDEMIC) is how it all ends. Oddly, the Democrat/public-health-fascist approach to the pandemic sort of mirrors the Bush administration’s plan for Iraq. Once the country was occupied, or every business in America locked down, the economy destroyed, and a free people reduced to waiting for handouts from the federal government, there was no idea about what comes next. In both cases, one gets the sneaking suspicion that the absence of an exit strategy might be part of the plan.

Now, via the Wall Street Journal, there is encouraging news that this self-inflicted nightmare might be coming to an end. In We’ll Have Herd Immunity by April, Dr. (of the real, not the Jill Biden variety) Marty Makary, a professor at the Johns Hopkins School of Medicine and Bloomberg School of Public Health, not a random crank, says the signs are encouraging.

Amid the dire Covid warnings, one crucial fact has been largely ignored: Cases are down 77% over the past six weeks. If a medication slashed cases by 77%, we’d call it a miracle pill. Why is the number of cases plummeting much faster than experts predicted?


In large part because natural immunity from prior infection is far more common than can be measured by testing. Testing has been capturing only from 10% to 25% of infections, depending on when during the pandemic someone got the virus. Applying a time-weighted case capture average of 1 in 6.5 to the cumulative 28 million confirmed cases would mean about 55% of Americans have natural immunity.


Now add people getting vaccinated. As of this week, 15% of Americans have received the vaccine, and the figure is rising fast. Former Food and Drug Commissioner Scott Gottlieb estimates 250 million doses will have been delivered to some 150 million people by the end of March.


There is reason to think the country is racing toward an extremely low level of infection. As more people have been infected, most of whom have mild or no symptoms, there are fewer Americans left to be infected. At the current trajectory, I expect Covid will be mostly gone by April, allowing Americans to resume normal life.

continued:
https://redstate.com/streiff/2021/02...e67b2f02003c45

[countryboy]

The great unanswered question about the China virus pandemic (an alert commenter noted that a pandemic is just a Dem surrounded by panic–PANDEMIC) is how it all ends. Oddly, the Democrat/public-health-fascist approach to the pandemic sort of mirrors the Bush administration’s plan for Iraq. Once the country was occupied, or every business in America locked down, the economy destroyed, and a free people reduced to waiting for handouts from the federal government, there was no idea about what comes next. In both cases, one gets the sneaking suspicion that the absence of an exit strategy might be part of the plan.

Now, via the Wall Street Journal, there is encouraging news that this self-inflicted nightmare might be coming to an end. In We’ll Have Herd Immunity by April, Dr. (of the real, not the Jill Biden variety) Marty Makary, a professor at the Johns Hopkins School of Medicine and Bloomberg School of Public Health, not a random crank, says the signs are encouraging.

Amid the dire Covid warnings, one crucial fact has been largely ignored: Cases are down 77% over the past six weeks. If a medication slashed cases by 77%, we’d call it a miracle pill. Why is the number of cases plummeting much faster than experts predicted?


In large part because natural immunity from prior infection is far more common than can be measured by testing. Testing has been capturing only from 10% to 25% of infections, depending on when during the pandemic someone got the virus. Applying a time-weighted case capture average of 1 in 6.5 to the cumulative 28 million confirmed cases would mean about 55% of Americans have natural immunity.


Now add people getting vaccinated. As of this week, 15% of Americans have received the vaccine, and the figure is rising fast. Former Food and Drug Commissioner Scott Gottlieb estimates 250 million doses will have been delivered to some 150 million people by the end of March.


There is reason to think the country is racing toward an extremely low level of infection. As more people have been infected, most of whom have mild or no symptoms, there are fewer Americans left to be infected. At the current trajectory, I expect Covid will be mostly gone by April, allowing Americans to resume normal life.

continued:
https://redstate.com/streiff/2021/02...e67b2f02003c45

Wow, that's encouraging. Thanks for posting.

[hanger4]

The great unanswered question about the China virus pandemic (an alert commenter noted that a pandemic is just a Dem surrounded by panic–PANDEMIC) is how it all ends. Oddly, the Democrat/public-health-fascist approach to the pandemic sort of mirrors the Bush administration’s plan for Iraq. Once the country was occupied, or every business in America locked down, the economy destroyed, and a free people reduced to waiting for handouts from the federal government, there was no idea about what comes next. In both cases, one gets the sneaking suspicion that the absence of an exit strategy might be part of the plan.

Now, via the Wall Street Journal, there is encouraging news that this self-inflicted nightmare might be coming to an end. In We’ll Have Herd Immunity by April, Dr. (of the real, not the Jill Biden variety) Marty Makary, a professor at the Johns Hopkins School of Medicine and Bloomberg School of Public Health, not a random crank, says the signs are encouraging.

Amid the dire Covid warnings, one crucial fact has been largely ignored: Cases are down 77% over the past six weeks. If a medication slashed cases by 77%, we’d call it a miracle pill. Why is the number of cases plummeting much faster than experts predicted?


In large part because natural immunity from prior infection is far more common than can be measured by testing. Testing has been capturing only from 10% to 25% of infections, depending on when during the pandemic someone got the virus. Applying a time-weighted case capture average of 1 in 6.5 to the cumulative 28 million confirmed cases would mean about 55% of Americans have natural immunity.


Now add people getting vaccinated. As of this week, 15% of Americans have received the vaccine, and the figure is rising fast. Former Food and Drug Commissioner Scott Gottlieb estimates 250 million doses will have been delivered to some 150 million people by the end of March.


There is reason to think the country is racing toward an extremely low level of infection. As more people have been infected, most of whom have mild or no symptoms, there are fewer Americans left to be infected. At the current trajectory, I expect Covid will be mostly gone by April, allowing Americans to resume normal life.

continued:
https://redstate.com/streiff/2021/02...e67b2f02003c45

I suspect the MSM hasn't mentioned it because they haven't figured out how to spin it to Biden's favor yet. I'm sure they will in time, they are an enterprising lot.

[RMNIXON]

Testing Mania was part of the problem. During the so-called Winter Spike I observed massive lines around the local Urgent Care for COVID testing.

Now I see none!


And the left media are also falsely trying to claim masks and lockdowns did this when we have been doing those for months on end!

[RMNIXON]

I suspect the MSM hasn't mentioned it because they haven't figured out how to spin it to Biden's favor yet. I'm sure they will in time, they are an enterprising lot.

Problem is that many powerful circles don't want this panic to go away. The level of people control is far too tempting!