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Thread: Major X1 class solar flare

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    Major X1 class solar flare

    "X-FLARE! Earth-orbiting satellites have just detected an X1-class solar flare (Oct. 2nd @ 2025 UT). Ironically, it did not come from big dangerous sunspot AR3112, described below, but rather from AR3110, a smaller and apparently less threatening active region. The flare (image) produced a shortwave radio blackout over the Pacific Ocean and parts of North America (blackout map), and it may have hurled a CME into space. Stay tuned for updates".

    https://spaceweather.com/



    "Solar activity continues at high levels on Sunday. Multiple solar flares were detected on the Sun, including an X1.0 event at 20:25 UTC (Oct 2) by AR 3110. Just like the previous events around this region, a fairly narrow band of plasma appears to have been flung into space and not directly towards our planet. More updates regarding this event whenever necessary. It also appears that an M-Flare was in progress at nearly the same time around large AR 3112 in the northeast quadrant. Additional solar flares above the M1.0 threshold will remain likely during the next 24 hours with an increased chance for a major X-Class event. With the addition of AR 3112, the solar flux index rose to 154.. It should be noted that X-Flare from earlier today was the first Earth facing X-Class event since May 10, 2022".

    https://www.solarham.net/


    "A BIG DANGEROUS SUNSPOT: One of the biggest sunspots in years has just rotated over the sun's northeastern limb. Introducing, AR3112: AR3112 has more than a dozen dark cores scattered across 130,000 km of solar terrain, making it an easy target for backyard solar telescopes. Don't have a solar filter? Use the projection method, instead.

    The image above is a magnetic map of the sun's surface with a white light photo of AR3112 inset. It shows what makes this sunspot group so dangerous. Positive and negative magnetic polarities are bumping together--an explosive mixture that could produce an X-class solar flare.

    The emergence of AR3112 already fully formed and unstable could herald two weeks of high solar activity as the sunspot group transits the solar disk, facing Earth the whole time. Stay tuned".
    https://spaceweather.com/



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    Eyes to the skies

    "MULTIPLE CMES ARE COMING: NOAA forecasters say there is a chance of G2-class geomagnetic storms on Oct. 4th when multiple CMEs might sideswipe Earth's magnetic field. Most of the incoming CMEs were hurled into space by sunspot AR3110, which unleashed a series of strong flares (M5.9, M8.7, X1) over the weekend. During G2-class storms, naked-eye auroras can descend into the United States as low as New York and Idaho". https://spaceweather.com/
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    I wonder if we'll notice any wonkiness in our technology?
    ""A government which robs Peter to pay Paul can always depend on the support of Paul" ~George Bernard Shaw

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    Quote Originally Posted by FindersKeepers View Post
    I wonder if we'll notice any wonkiness in our technology?
    We do have short wave radio blackouts often when there are geomagnetic interferences. Luckily this was not a direct facing flare, most of the plasma went off into space but we will be side swiped. In the last solar cycle we had direct hits from x flares of larger size. There were a lot of storms, also the Fukushima quake happened after a direct hit from a solar flare. We also get earthquakes when the moon is full, so if we get an earth facing flare during a full moon our chances for earth quakes increase.
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    Quote Originally Posted by FindersKeepers View Post
    I wonder if we'll notice any wonkiness in our technology?
    We often do. If we get hit by a big enough one, we will really feel it- like the grid go down. AM radio and HAM is affected a lot.
    ΜOΛΩΝ ΛΑΒΕ


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    Update:

    "POSSIBLE CANNIBAL CME EVENT: According to NOAA forecasters, multiple CMEs are heading for Earth. ETA: Oct. 4th. This could be a "Cannibal CME" event. Take a look at this NOAA model. Cannibal CMEs form when a fast-moving CME devours one or more slower CMEs ahead of it. The combined cloud contains tangled magnetic fields that can do a good job sparking auroras. Storm levels could reach category G2 if/when the Cannibal arrives".

    https://spaceweather.com/
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    Major flare potential

    "AR 3110 and 3112 are currently trading low level M-Flares. Both regions appear poised to produce something much stronger. AR 3112 in particular should be monitored closely as the active cluster of sunspots continue to rotate into a better Earth facing position. Any eruption around this region could potentially be directed towards Earth in the days ahead".

    https://www.solarham.net/
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